中国通过产出调整实现碳减排目标的关键行业再辨识

发布时间：2018-03-02 03:11

  本文关键词： 产出调整 碳减排 经济增长 就业 社会核算矩阵　出处：《云南财经大学学报》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为重新辨识中国通过产出调整实现碳减排目标的关键行业并制定差异化减排策略,避免对经济增长和就业造成负面冲击,编制2012年细化社会核算矩阵,计算了各细分行业产出调整的总碳排放、总增加值和总就业影响乘数。同时,设计并计算了31个细分行业的碳减排增加值牺牲系数和碳减排就业牺牲系数,在此基础上,把所有细分行业分为低牺牲组、高牺牲组和中等牺牲组三个组别,其中低牺牲组和高牺牲组是中国通过产出调整实施碳减排目标的关键行业。对于低牺牲组5个行业,宜采用强制减排策略,对高牺牲组9个行业,宜采用低排放发展策略,而对中等牺牲组,宜采用限排策略。依增加值牺牲系数和就业牺牲系数进行碳减排行业分组比传统的依行业碳排放总量进行分组要全面、准确。
[Abstract]:In order to re-identify the key industries in China to achieve carbon emission reduction targets through output adjustment and formulate differentiated emission reduction strategies to avoid negative impacts on economic growth and employment, a detailed social accounting matrix was compiled in 2012. The total carbon emissions, the total added value and the total employment impact multiplier of the output adjustment of each subdivision industry are calculated. At the same time, the sacrifice coefficient of carbon emission reduction added value and the carbon emission reduction employment sacrifice coefficient of 31 subdivision industries are designed and calculated. Divide all subsectors into three groups: low sacrifice group, high sacrifice group and medium sacrifice group. Among them, low sacrifice group and high sacrifice group are the key industries for China to implement carbon emission reduction targets through output adjustment. It is advisable to adopt compulsory emission reduction strategy, to adopt low emission development strategy for 9 industries in high sacrifice group, and to adopt low emission development strategy for medium sacrifice group, According to the value added sacrifice coefficient and the employment sacrifice coefficient, the carbon emission reduction industry subgroup is more comprehensive and accurate than the traditional carbon emission reduction industry group.
【作者单位】： 湖北经济学院金融学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“突发冲击的产业间传导与维持中国经济稳定的关键产业辨识及优化管理研究”(12YJC790292)
【分类号】：F124;X32
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本文编号：1554759