出口结构转型、技术复杂度升级与中国制造业碳排放——从嵌入全球价值链的视角

发布时间：2018-03-22 13:29

本文选题：出口结构　切入点：技术复杂度　出处：《产经评论》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：出口技术复杂度升级可以用于衡量制造业出口贸易结构转型。从嵌入全球产业价值链视角,深入制造业内部结构探究不同能耗行业和不同技术水平行业的贸易结构碳排放效应差异性,对优化产业结构,提高我国高端技术行业在全球产业链的地位有重要意义。采用2005-2014年中国制造业28个细分行业面板数据,实证检验制造业出口结构转型对碳排放的直接效应和间接效应,并将制造业按照技术研发度和能源消耗度的不同进行分组,对比不同类型行业的差异性。结果显示:(1)总体上,出口结构转型对制造业碳排放不具有显著的直接效应;出口结构转型引起的产业结构变化、行业技术水平提升和外资流入对碳排放具有显著影响,但影响方向不同。(2)产业结构变化显著增加行业总体碳排放,不同行业影响程度不同。对于高技术行业、中高技术行业和高能耗行业来说,结构效应更加明显。(3)技术水平的提升和外商资本流入具有显著碳减排效果,但行业间存在差异性。总体而言,产业结构是限制制造业碳减排最主要的原因。
[Abstract]:The upgrading of export technology complexity can be used to measure the structural transformation of manufacturing export trade. In order to optimize the industrial structure, the difference of carbon emission effect of trade structure between different energy consuming industries and different technology level industries is explored deeply in the internal structure of manufacturing industry. It is of great significance to improve the status of China's high-end technology industry in the global industrial chain. Using the panel data of 28 segments of Chinese manufacturing industry from 2005 to 2014, this paper empirically examines the direct and indirect effects of the structural transformation of manufacturing exports on carbon emissions. The manufacturing industry is grouped according to the degree of technology development and energy consumption, and the differences of different types of industries are compared. The results show that the export structure transformation has no significant direct effect on the carbon emissions of manufacturing industry. The industrial structure changes caused by the export structure transformation, the industry technology level enhancement and the foreign capital inflow have the remarkable influence on the carbon emission, but the influence direction is different, the industrial structure change increases the industry overall carbon emission significantly, For high-tech industries, medium and high technology industries and high energy consumption industries, the structural effect is more obvious. The upgrading of technology level and the inflow of foreign capital have significant carbon emission reduction effects. In general, industrial structure is the main reason for limiting carbon emission reduction in manufacturing industry.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学经济学院;浙江交通职业技术学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目“全球价值链嵌入、贸易隐含碳与中国的减排潜力及政策模拟研究”(项目编号:16AGJ002,项目主持人:杨来科) 教育部人文社会科学青年项目“全球价值链背景下中国制造业贸易隐含碳效率测度及减排政策模拟”(项目编号:15YJC790080,项目主持人:钱志权)
【分类号】：F424;F752.62;X2

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