基于前景理论的政企低碳策略演化博弈分析

发布时间：2018-04-29 08:43

本文选题：前景理论 + 低碳策略　；参考：《科技管理研究》2017年20期

【摘要】：从前景理论视角分析地方政府监督下的企业低碳生产策略,建立企业和地方政府的收益感知矩阵,运用复制动态方程分析企业和地方政府的低碳策略演化博弈过程,模拟分析环境恶化风险成本、惩罚成本、低碳补贴及地方政府收益变化对演化结果的影响。研究结果表明:企业和地方政府的低碳策略取决于对方低碳策略的选择和参数感知价值,参数感知价值围绕临界值上下波动时,低碳策略随之变化;在一定条件下,企业和地方政府的低碳策略演化为环境效益最大化的企业低碳生产、地方政府监督策略集合;企业和地方政府对损益价值的感知大小影响环境效益最大化的实现;企业选择低碳生产及地方政府选择监督的概率影响策略收敛的速度。
[Abstract]:From the perspective of prospect theory, this paper analyzes the low-carbon production strategies of enterprises under the supervision of local government, establishes the income perception matrix of enterprises and local governments, and analyzes the evolution and game process of low-carbon strategies between enterprises and local governments by using replicating dynamic equations. The effects of environmental degradation risk cost, penalty cost, low carbon subsidy and local government income on the evolution results are simulated and analyzed. The results show that the low-carbon strategies of enterprises and local governments depend on the choice of low-carbon strategies and the perceived value of parameters. When the parametric perceived value fluctuates around the critical value, the low-carbon strategy changes. The low carbon strategy of enterprise and local government evolves into low carbon production with maximum environmental benefit, local government supervising strategy set, the perception of profit and loss value of enterprise and local government affects the realization of environmental benefit maximization. The probability that firms choose low carbon production and local governments choose to supervise affects the speed of strategy convergence.
【作者单位】：桂林电子科技大学商学院;河海大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“快速城市化背景下我国经济增长低碳化路径研究”(13BJL093)
【分类号】：X322

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