碳硫排放下能源价格及能源市场的实证分析与研究

发布时间：2018-05-27 14:46

本文选题：能源价格 + 能源消费　；参考：《江苏大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：在中国实现工业化和现代化的进程中,能源起着不可或缺的作用。能源的大量使用,尤其是化石能源的使用,导致二氧化碳、二氧化硫等温室气体的过量排放,给全球带来了显著的影响,如全球变暖、海平面上升、GDP下降等。中国已成为世界上最大的能源生产国和消费国。在2007年,中国已成为世界上最大的二氧化碳排放国,是唯一一个排放量超过百万的国家。碳硫排放的降低问题已经成为我国亟待解决的关键问题,也是学者们一直以来关注的热点问题之一。本文分别以山西省(煤炭大省)与全国的煤炭和石油消费价格为研究对象,利用随机矩阵理论分析了能源价格与能源市场之间的相关关系;以2014-2015年全国煤炭和石油的消费价格及消费量构造时间序列,对不同能源之间的关系进行实证分析与研究,得到不同能源之间的交叉弹性系数和自价格弹性系数,分析了不同能源之间的互补和替代关系;建立了碳硫排放量-能源相对价格模型,分析不同价格区间下相对价格的动态演化规律,并模拟了其对碳硫排放量的减少效应。能源价格的相关性及相对价格的研究对于优化能源消费结构及降低碳硫排放具有重要的意义,合理的价格比有助于降低碳硫排放,改善环境质量。该研究为政府和决策部门进一步了解能源市场动态,制定市场主体下的政策调控策略提供了理论依据。
[Abstract]:Energy plays an indispensable role in the process of industrialization and modernization in China. The extensive use of energy, especially fossil energy, has led to excessive emissions of carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide and other greenhouse gases, which have had a significant impact on the world, such as global warming, rising sea levels and falling GDP. China has become the world's largest energy producer and consumer. In 2007, China became the world's largest emitter of carbon dioxide, the only country with more than a million emissions. The reduction of carbon and sulfur emissions has become a key problem to be solved in China, and it is also one of the hot issues that scholars have been paying close attention to. Taking the coal and oil consumption prices of Shanxi Province and the whole country as research objects, this paper analyzes the correlation between energy price and energy market by using stochastic matrix theory. Based on the time series of consumption prices and consumption of coal and oil in China in 2014-2015, this paper makes an empirical analysis and research on the relationship between different energy sources, and obtains the cross-elasticity coefficient and self-price elasticity coefficient among different energy sources. The complementary and substitution relationship between different energy sources is analyzed, and the relative price model of carbon and sulfur emissions is established, and the dynamic evolution of relative prices in different price ranges is analyzed, and the reduction effect of carbon and sulfur emissions is simulated. The research on the correlation of energy price and relative price is of great significance for optimizing energy consumption structure and reducing carbon and sulfur emissions. A reasonable price ratio can help to reduce carbon and sulfur emissions and improve environmental quality. The research provides a theoretical basis for the government and policy-making departments to further understand the energy market dynamics and formulate policy control strategies under the market main body.
【学位授予单位】：江苏大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.2;F764.1;X24

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