北极环境治理响应复杂网络演化博弈仿真研究

发布时间：2018-06-06 19:52

本文选题：北极 + 环境治理　；参考：《管理评论》2017年02期

【摘要】：北极航线通航进程加快,使得威胁北极海洋环境的海上突发事件发生可能性增加,一旦这类事件发生必将引起环北极国家、观察员国家等声称对北极有权益的行为主体的响应,形成一个巨大的、多因素影响的、动态的北极环境治理响应复杂网络。本文基于复杂网络、公共物品演化博弈、系统仿真等理论方法,构建北极环境治理演化博弈模型,对响应复杂网络中国家间的合作行为进行研究,得出北极环境治理响应复杂网络中,长远效益和回报强度直接影响国家的收益函数,从而影响国家对北极环境治理的行为选择的结论。研究结果可丰富北极治理的相关理论研究,为中国参与北极环境治理及相关决策的制定提供参考。
[Abstract]:The speeding up of the course of navigation on the Arctic route increases the possibility of maritime emergencies threatening the Arctic marine environment. Once such incidents occur, they will inevitably cause responses from the Arctic circumpolar countries, observer states, and other actors claiming to have interests in the Arctic. Form a complex network of large, multi-factor, dynamic Arctic environmental governance responses. Based on the theories and methods of complex network, evolution game of public goods and system simulation, this paper constructs the evolutionary game model of Arctic environmental governance, and studies the cooperative behavior among countries in response to complex network. In the complex network of response to Arctic environmental governance, it is concluded that the long-term benefit and the return intensity directly affect the national income function and thus affect the behavior choice of the country to the Arctic environmental governance. The results can enrich the relevant theoretical studies of Arctic governance and provide a reference for China to participate in Arctic environmental governance and decision-making.
【作者单位】：大连海事大学交通运输管理学院;大连海事大学战略管理与系统规划研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(61473053) 辽宁省社会科学规划基金重点项目(L16AGL004)
【分类号】：X32

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