基于MRIO模型的京津冀地区贸易隐含污染转移

发布时间：2018-07-24 15:50

【摘要】：基于MRIO模型,自主编制了包括京津冀三地及其他省份?13个行业的2007年中国区域间投入产出表,选取SO_2?NO_x?工业粉尘?烟尘?COD和氨氮六类污染物,测算了京津冀三地的贸易隐含污染转移量,并引入贸易污染条件指标分析双边贸易对京津冀三地污染排放带来的不同影响.结果显示:从京津冀地区贸易隐含污染的转移格局来看,北京是最大的受益方,河北是最大的受损方,天津则相比河北是受益方但相比北京是受损方;京津冀地区的产业分布特点是影响地区间贸易隐含污染转移格局的重要因素;巨大的产品调出规模?偏重污染密集型产业的产品调出结构以及不利的贸易污染条件等因素共同作用使得河北成为京津冀地区环境质量受地区贸易负面影响最大的省份.
[Abstract]:Based on the MRIO model, the input-output table of China in 2007, which includes the three places of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei and other provinces and 13 industries, is compiled, and so _ 2 / no _ x? Industrial dust? Six kinds of pollutants, COD and ammonia nitrogen, were used to calculate the implied pollution transfer amount in the trade between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, and to analyze the different effects of bilateral trade on the pollution emissions of the three places by introducing the trade pollution condition index. The results show that Beijing is the biggest beneficiary, Hebei is the biggest damaged party, Tianjin is the beneficiary and Beijing is the damaged side, according to the transfer pattern of implicit pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area. The characteristics of industrial distribution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are the important factors influencing the pattern of implied pollution transfer in inter-regional trade. The combination of the product output structure and the unfavorable trade pollution conditions of the pollution-intensive industries makes Hebei become the province with the greatest negative impact on the environmental quality of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region by regional trade.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学环境学院;中国农业大学理学院;
【基金】：中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)(14XNJ008)
【分类号】：F752.8;X22

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