IT领域新兴技术的演进及其可视化分析

发布时间：2018-05-13 02:22

本文选题：新兴技术 + Gartner　；参考：《情报杂志》2017年07期

【摘要】：[目的/意义]深度剖析Gartner新兴技术成熟度曲线图的内涵,梳理近年来信息技术领域的新兴技术,以可视化方式清晰呈现其演进历程,为识别、监测、跟踪和展示信息技术领域的新兴技术及其趋势提供了新的方法与角度。[方法/过程]根据近八年(2009至2016年)Gartner新兴技术成熟度曲线图完成了信息技术领域新兴技术的项次数量、成熟度状况以及普及年预期等基础统计数据与可视化图。基于同源原则,对历年新兴技术进行合并,统计出高频的同源技术,并以可视化图直观地呈现其动态演进历程。[结果/结论]基于Gartner新兴技术成熟度曲线图与Tableau可视化软件,成功识别出七项高频新兴技术并展示出其演进历程:增强现实、人类技能增进、量子计算、自然语言问答、脑机接口、网格网络-传感器;其他值得关注的新兴技术还包括:3D打印、云计算、语音技术等。
[Abstract]:[objective / significance] deeply analyze the intension of maturity curve of Gartner emerging technology, comb the emerging technology in the field of information technology in recent years, show its evolution course clearly by visual way, for identifying, monitoring, Tracking and displaying the emerging technologies and their trends in the field of information technology provides a new approach and perspective. [method / process] based on the Gartner curve of maturity of emerging technologies in the last eight years from 2009 to 2016, the basic statistical data and visualization charts of the number of items, maturity status and annual expectation of popularization in the field of information technology are completed. Based on the principle of homology, the new technologies are merged, and the high-frequency homology technology is counted out, and the dynamic evolution course is presented intuitively by visual graph. [results / conclusion] based on Gartner emerging technology maturity curve and Tableau visualization software, seven high frequency emerging technologies were successfully identified and their evolution was demonstrated: augmented reality, enhancement of human skills, quantum computing, natural language question and answer. Brain-computer interfaces, grid network-sensors; other emerging technologies that deserve attention include: 3D printing, cloud computing, voice technology, etc.
【作者单位】：中国科学院成都文献情报中心;
【基金】：中国科学院文献情报中心“领域专家多维创新活动信息的知识组织与可视化方案研究”项目(编号:y6c1021001)研究成果之一
【分类号】：G353.1

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