关税减让、汇率升值对中国农产品价格的传递效应

发布时间：2019-01-08 18:49

【摘要】：利用省际面板数据,检验了2005年之前中国农产品关税减让和2005年之后人民币汇率升值对国内农产品价格的传递效应与传导机制。实证结果显示:人民币汇率升值的农产品价格传递效应低于中国农产品关税减让的农产品价格传递效应,表明相对于贸易开放,金融开放对国内农产品价格的冲击效应相对较小;关税和汇率对农产品生产价格的影响远大于对农产品消费价格和农业生产资料价格的影响,表明农业生产者收入受损程度高于消费者的获益程度。鉴于关税和汇率对农产品生产价格的冲击,相应的政策干预应从两方面入手:首先,通过增加农业基础设施建设、收储与补贴等手段提升对农业的扶持力度,增强国内农产品的国际竞争力;其次,相应的收入再分配政策应更多地向农业生产者倾斜,以弥补其福利的损失。
[Abstract]:Using inter-provincial panel data, this paper examines the transmission effect and transmission mechanism of China's agricultural tariff concessions before 2005 and RMB exchange rate appreciation after 2005 on domestic agricultural product prices. The empirical results show that the price transfer effect of RMB appreciation is lower than that of China's agricultural product tariff concession, indicating that the RMB exchange rate is relatively open to trade. The impact of financial opening on the prices of domestic agricultural products is relatively small; The effect of tariff and exchange rate on agricultural product production price is much greater than on agricultural product consumption price and agricultural means of production price, which indicates that agricultural producers' income is damaged more than consumers' benefit. In view of the impact of tariffs and exchange rates on the prices of agricultural products, the corresponding policy interventions should start from two aspects: first, by increasing the construction of agricultural infrastructure, collecting reserves and subsidies, and so on, to enhance the support for agriculture. Enhancing the international competitiveness of domestic agricultural products; Secondly, the corresponding income redistribution policy should be more inclined to agricultural producers to compensate for the loss of their welfare.
【作者单位】：南京农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(编号:2011&ZD046) 国家自然科学基金(编号:71173111)
【分类号】：F323.7;F752.50;F832.6

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