入境国际航行船舶传染病防控风险评估指标体系构建

发布时间：2018-03-01 12:32

本文关键词： 国际航行船舶传染病防控指标体系德尔菲法层次分析法　出处：《现代预防医学》2014年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：目的研究建立入境国际航行船舶传染病防控风险的评估指标体系。方法采用德尔菲法确定评估的指标体系,通过2轮专家咨询修改指标体系,筛选指标,确立指标体系;应用层次分析法计算指标权重,形成判断矩阵并进行一致性检验。结果第1轮、第2轮咨询的专家积极系数分别为95.00%,84.21%,专家权威系数为(0.85±0.03)。第2轮咨询Kendall′s W=0.455,χ2=298.42(P0.001),具有统计学意义。通过2轮专家咨询建立了国境口岸传染病防控风险的综合评价指标体系,包括3个一级指标、14个二级指标和42个三级指标;应用AHP法确定了各指标的权重,各判断矩阵的一致性检验结果 CR均0.10,具有较好逻辑一致性。结论本研究专家积极性、权威程度和意见协调性均较高,表明指标的可信度较高,同时建立的指标体系结构合理,包含了船舶传染病防控检疫工作的核心内容,具有较强的针对性。
[Abstract]:Objective to establish the evaluation index system of infectious disease prevention and control risk of international navigation ships. Methods the evaluation index system was determined by Delphi method, and the index system was modified by two rounds of expert consultation, and the index system was established by screening indexes. Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to calculate the index weight, to form the judgment matrix and to verify the consistency. The positive coefficients of experts in the second round were 95.00 and 84.21, respectively. The expert authority coefficient was 0.85 卤0.030.The second round of consultation was Kendall's 0.455, 蠂 2298.42P0.001. the comprehensive evaluation index system of infectious disease prevention and control risk in frontier port was established through two rounds of expert consultation. The weight of each index is determined by AHP method, and the consistency test result of each judgment matrix is 0.10, which has good logical consistency. The degree of authority and the coordination of opinions are higher, which indicates that the reliability of the index is high, and the index system is reasonable, which includes the core contents of the prevention, control and quarantine of ship infectious diseases, and has strong pertinence.
【作者单位】：温州出入境检验检疫局卫生检疫处;温州出入境检验检疫局机场办事处;
【基金】：浙江出入境检验检疫局科研计划项目(项目名称:基于AHP-模糊评判法的海港口岸传染病防控风险的评估技术研究,编号:ZK201210)
【分类号】：R185

【参考文献】