气象因素对北京市猫、犬伤门诊就诊人数影响的病例交叉研究

发布时间：2018-03-20 12:31

本文选题：气象要素　切入点：猫　出处：《兰州大学学报(自然科学版)》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：探讨北京市气象因素对猫、犬伤(抓伤/咬伤)门诊就诊人数的影响,采用双向配对病例交叉设计,研究了2008-2012年气象要素(日平均气压、日平均气温、相对湿度、24 h降水量、日照时间、平均水汽压)对猫、犬伤门诊就诊人数的影响.结果表明,双向l:2匹配病例交叉研究的效应值最大,在1:2匹配时,气压升高对犬伤的主要气象因素效应值(OR)为0.994时的95%置信区间(95%CI)为0.989~0.996.温度升高对犬伤影响较大,OR为1.01 9时,95%CI为1.009~1.023.湿度加大对猫伤有一定影响,OR为1.005时,95%CI为1.001~1.008.日照时间对猫、犬伤均有影响,日照时间加长,犬伤的OR为1.004,95%CI为1.000~1.011,猫伤OR为1.007,95%CI为1.001~1.008.降水量及平均水汽压结果差异无统计学意义.气温和日照时间是影响猫、犬伤人的主要气象因素,明显反映出气温和日照时间的变化对猫、犬性情的影响较大,而气压及相对湿度也会对猫、犬伤人产生一定的影响.
[Abstract]:To explore the effect of meteorological factors on the number of outpatients with cat and dog injuries (scratches / bites) in Beijing, the weather elements (daily mean pressure, daily average temperature, relative humidity, 24 h precipitation) from 2008 to 2012 were studied by using a two-way matched case cross design. The effect of sunshine time and average vapor pressure on the number of outpatients with cat and dog injuries was studied. The results showed that the cross study of bidirectional 1: 2 matched cases had the greatest effect, when 1: 2 matched, The 95% confidence interval (OR) of the main meteorological factors of canine injury caused by the increase of air pressure was 0.989 ~ 0.996. The OR of the increase of temperature was 1.01 9 ~ 95 CI = 1.009 ~ 1.023. The OR of increasing humidity on cat injury was 1.005.95 CI was 1.001 卤1.008.The effect of sunshine time was 1.001 ~ 1.008.The effect of increasing air pressure on canine injury was 1.009 ~ (95) CI 1.001 ~ (1.008), and that of cat was 1.009 ~ (95) CI = 1.001 ~ (1.008). The duration of sunshine was longer, the OR of canine injury was 1.004 / 95 CI = 1.000 / 1.011, and that of cat injury was 1.007 / 95CI = 1.001 / 1.008. There was no significant difference in the results of precipitation and mean water vapor pressure. Temperature and sunshine time were the main meteorological factors affecting the injury of cats and dogs. The results showed that the changes of temperature and sunshine time had a great influence on the temperament of cats and dogs, and the air pressure and relative humidity also had some effects on cats and dogs.
【作者单位】：兰州大学大气科学学院气象环境与人体健康研究中心;成都信息工程大学大气科学学院;中国人民解放军总医院急诊科;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(91644226,41575138) 国家基础科技条件平台建设项目(NCMI-SBS17-201607,2016NCMIZX09,NCMI-SJS15-201607) 国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项项目(GYHY201306047,GYHY201106034) 国家科技支撑计划项目(2012BAJ18B08)
【分类号】：R181.3;R512.99

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