1996-2014年南宁市HIV感染时空聚集性研究

发布时间：2018-05-03 05:29

  本文选题：艾滋病病毒 + 地理信息系统　； 参考：《中国艾滋病性病》2017年04期

【摘要】：目的探测1996-2014年南宁市乡镇/街道办事处尺度上,艾滋病病毒(HIV)感染者的时空聚集性,为南宁市HIV的防控提供科学参考。方法从乡镇/街道办事处尺度上,对1996-2014年南宁市HIV新发报告率用泊松模型的时空扫描统计量进行小尺度时空聚集性探测,并用地理信息系统实现探测结果的可视化。结果 1996-2014年,南宁市HIV感染共存在5个有统计学意义的高发性时空聚集区。其中一级聚集区为宾阳县宾州镇,始于1999年,止于2002年[对数似然比(LLR)=119.02,相对危险度(RR)=7.08,P0.001];次级聚集区分别包括:1)以良庆区那马镇为中心,共28个乡镇/街道,聚集于2003-2008年的次级聚集区Ⅰ(LLR=63.04,RR=1.35,P0.001);2)以横县甘棠镇为中心,共14个乡镇,聚集于2013-2014年的次级聚集区Ⅱ(LLR=51.65,RR=1.71,P0.001);3)以马山县周鹿镇为中心,共47个乡镇,聚集于2010-2014年的次级聚集区Ⅲ(LLR=43.82,RR=1.21,P0.001);4)以横县横州镇为中心,共2个乡镇,聚集于2000-2007年的次级聚集区Ⅳ(LLR=35.18,RR=1.75,P0.001)。结论时空扫描统计量可以较好地揭示南宁HIV感染的时空聚集性,相关部门应该加强对HIV时空高发聚集区的防控工作。
[Abstract]:Objective to investigate the spatial and temporal aggregation of HIV / AIDS infected persons in the township / street offices of Nanning from 1996 to 2014, and to provide a scientific reference for the prevention and control of HIV in Nanning. Methods from the scale of township / street office, the new HIV report rate of Nanning from 1996 to 2014 was detected by using the time-space scanning statistics of Poisson model, and the visualization of the detection results was realized by GIS. Results from 1996 to 2014, there were five high incidence areas of HIV infection in Nanning. Among them, the first class gathering area is Binzhou Town, Binyang County, which began in 1999 and ended in 2002 [LLRRX 119.02, relative risk ratio 7.08% P0.001]; the secondary gathering areas include respectively: 1) taking Nama Town, Liangqing District, as the center, a total of 28 townships / streets, A total of 14 villages and towns, with Gantang Town, Hengxian County, as the center, gathered in the second sub-gathering area of 2013-2014, 鈪，

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