成都市2010-2015年艾滋病疫情特点与趋势估计

发布时间：2018-02-26 16:38

  本文关键词： 艾滋病 流行趋势 疫情估计　出处：《中国艾滋病性病》2017年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：目的分析成都市艾滋病(AIDS)疫情流行特点,预测未来疫情走势,为制定有效的艾滋病防控策略提供依据。方法从国家艾滋病综合防治信息系统中,获取成都市2010-2015年艾滋病报告病例的基本情况、随访和抗病毒治疗信息,各类人群的哨点监测、自愿咨询检测(VCT)等数据。利用Excel统计软件进行描述性分析,运用Workbook法对高危人群基数和艾滋病疫情进行估计。结果2010-2015年新报告艾滋病病毒(HIV)感染者/AIDS病例16 401例,各年病例分别为1 307、1 913、2 356、2 944、3 638和4 243例;各年新报告的艾滋病病例增长率分别为31.09%、46.37%、23.16%、24.96%、23.57%和16.63%。估计截止到2015年底,成都市现存活的艾滋病病毒感染者及病人共19 961例,全人群感染率为0.14%(19 961/14 317 647)。新报告病例的首次CD4+T淋巴细胞(简称CD4细胞)计数350个/μL所占比例在51.75%(990/1 913)~59.47%(1 401/2 356)之间,CD4细胞计数在500个/μL的病例占9.31%(274/2 944)~11.83%(502/4 243)。在社会经济水平高的一圈城,流动病例占46.76%,同性性传播感染病例占51.42%;在社会经济水平低的三圈城,流动病例占12.36%,异性性传播病例占82.34%。户籍地病例占87.64%。结论近3年来成都市艾滋病疫情增长率有所降低,疫情虽处于低流行状态,但病例晚发现情况较为严重;一圈城艾滋病防治工作重点为流动和同性性行为人群、三圈城为户籍地和异性性行为人群。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the epidemic of AIDS in Chengdu city (AIDS) to predict the future trend of the epidemic characteristics of the outbreak, and provide the basis for the development of AIDS prevention and control strategies. From the comprehensive national AIDS prevention and control information system, for 2010-2015 years in Chengdu City, the basic situation of AIDS cases, follow-up information and antiviral treatment, sentinel surveillance of all types of people, voluntary counseling and testing (VCT). The data were analyzed by Excel statistical software, using Workbook method for high risk population base and the AIDS epidemic is estimated. The result of 2010-2015 years of the new report of AIDS virus (HIV) infection in 16401 cases of /AIDS patients, the cases were 1 307,1 913,2 638 356,2 944,3 and 4243 cases each year; the new report of AIDS cases growth rates were 31.09%, 46.37%, 23.16%, 24.96%, 23.57% and 16.63%. estimated by the end of 2015, the survival of AIDS in Chengdu City Virus infected patients and a total of 19961 cases, the infection rate was 0.14% (19 961/14 317647). The new report cases of the first CD4+T cell (CD4 cell) count of 350 / L in the proportion of 51.75% (990/1 913) ~59.47% (1 401/2 356), CD4 cell count in 500 / mu L cases accounted for 9.31% (274/2 944) ~11.83% (502/4 243). In a circle of city social economic level is high, the flow of cases accounted for 46.76%, homosexual transmission of infection accounted for 51.42%; in the three circle of city social economic level is low, the flow of cases accounted for 12.36% of heterosexual transmission cases 82.34%. domicile cases accounted for 87.64%. conclusions in the past 3 years the growth rate of the AIDS epidemic in Chengdu city decreased, although in a low prevalence state, but were later found that the situation is more serious; a city the focus of AIDS prevention and control for flow and crowd sex, three ring city household registration and heterosexuals.

【作者单位】： 成都市疾病预防控制中心;
【基金】：成都市科技局科技项目(2015-HM02-00018-SF)~~
【分类号】：R181.3;R512.91
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本文编号：1538817