珠海市不同活动场所MSM规模估计的研究

发布时间：2018-03-06 06:51

本文选题：男男性行为者　切入点：单样本人群规模估计法　出处：《中国艾滋病性病》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：目的了解珠海市实体活动场所和虚拟活动场所男男性行为者(MSM)的人群规模,为制定艾滋病干预措施提供依据。方法利用单样本人群规模估计法(LMS法)和捕获-再捕获法估计珠海市实体场所和虚拟场所的MSM人群规模。结果利用LMS法估计珠海市实体场所MSM的人群规模为5 767人(3 718~8 053人),虚拟场所为18 734人(16 925~20 541人),校正结果为14 753人(13 328~16 176人)。利用捕获-再捕获法估计MSM的人群规模为17 089人(10 742~23 436人)。结论珠海市MSM规模较大,虚拟场所的MSM人数远高于实体场所。应重视在互联网等虚拟场所实施有针对性的艾滋病防制策略。
[Abstract]:Objective to investigate the population size of MSM in physical and virtual activity venues in Zhuhai City. Methods the single sample population size estimation method and capture-recapture method were used to estimate the MSM population size of physical and virtual sites in Zhuhai. Results the LMS method was used to estimate the population size of Zhuhai. The population size of MSM was 5 767, and that of virtual site was 18 734, 16 925 and 20 541, respectively. The result of correction was 14 753 people / 13 32828 / 16 176 persons. The population size of MSM was estimated to be 17 089 persons by the method of capture-recapture. Conclusion the scale of MSM in Zhuhai is large, The number of MSM in virtual place is much higher than that in physical place.
【作者单位】：珠海市疾病预防控制中心;珠海旭同志愿服务中心;
【基金】：广东省医学科学技术研究项目(B2015109)
【分类号】：R512.91

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