2010-2014年陕西省宝鸡市手足口病流行特征分析及2015年发病趋势预测

发布时间：2018-03-12 15:19

本文选题：手足口病　切入点：流行特征　出处：《疾病监测》2016年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：目的了解陕西省宝鸡市手足口病流行病学特征和流行趋势,为制定有效的防控措施提供参考依据。方法对2010-2014年宝鸡市手足口病疫情进行描述性研究,采用流行控制图法对2015年发病趋势进行预测。结果 2010-2014年宝鸡市累计报告手足口病患者18 585例,其中重症病例162例,死亡10例,年发病率为99.31/10万,发病高峰为5-7月,高发年龄为1~4岁儿童,普通病例以肠道病毒71型(EV71)、柯萨奇病毒A组16型(Cox A16)感染为主,重症病例以EV71感染为主。结论流行控制图法预测2015年1-21周手足口病目标值与宝鸡市实际发病数基本接近,根据每周上报的实际数,参考疫情控制图的预警线和行动线做出及时的对策和应急反应,防止手足口病的暴发疫情。
[Abstract]:Objective to understand the epidemiological characteristics and epidemic trend of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Baoji City, Shaanxi Province, and to provide reference for effective prevention and control measures. Methods the descriptive study on HFMD epidemic situation in Baoji City from 2010 to 2014 was carried out. Results from 2010 to 2014, 18,585 HFMD patients were reported in Baoji City, including 162 severe cases and 10 deaths. The annual incidence rate was 99.31 / 100,000, with a peak of May to July. The most common cases were enterovirus 71 (EV71) and coxsackie virus A (Coxsackie virus A) group 16 (Cox A16) infection. Conclusion the target value of HFMD between 2015 and 2015 is close to the actual incidence of HFMD in Baoji city, according to the actual number of HFMD reported every week. According to the warning line and action line of epidemic control chart, timely countermeasures and emergency response were made to prevent the outbreak of hand, foot and mouth disease.
【作者单位】：宝鸡市疾病预防控制中心;陕西省疾病预防控制中心;
【分类号】：R725.1;R181.3

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