基于网络直报下的传染病自动预警信息系统运行效果分析

发布时间：2018-04-27 20:30

本文选题：传染病 + 自动预警　；参考：《中国卫生统计》2017年03期

【摘要】：目的分析2008-2015年天津市河东区传染病自动预警信息系统的运行状况,为进一步完善传染病自动预警信息系统的预警效果提供依据。方法采用描述性流行病学研究方法对2008-2015年河东区传染病自动预警系统生成的预警信号、预警病种、预警灵敏性、响应时间等进行分析。结果 2008-2015年天津市河东区传染病自动预警信息系统共发出预警信号2459条,预警信号阳性率为1.26%,三种预警方法的预警信号阳性率差别有统计学意义(χ~2=14.973,P0.01)。预警信息覆盖了17个病种,预警信号阳性率最高的病种为手足口病3.24%,其次为麻疹2.48%。预警信号灵敏度为44.44%,响应率为100%,及时响应率呈逐年上升趋势。结论传染病自动预警信息系统运行稳定,对及时发现重点病例和早期发现暴发疫情起到重要作用,但在实际应用中仍存在一些局限性,有待进一步完善。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the operation of the infectious disease automatic early warning information system in Hedong District of Tianjin from 2008 to 2015 so as to provide the basis for the further improvement of the early warning effect of the infectious disease automatic early warning information system. Methods A descriptive epidemiological study was used to analyze the early warning signals, early warning types, early warning sensitivity and response time of infectious diseases automatic early warning system in Hedong District from 2008 to 2015. Results from 2008 to 2015, 2459 early warning signals were issued by Tianjin Hedong District infectious disease automatic early warning information system, and the positive rate of early warning signals was 1.26. The positive rate of early warning signals of three kinds of early warning methods was significantly different (蠂 ~ (2) 2 ~ (14. 973) P 0.01). Early warning information covered 17 diseases. The highest positive rate of early warning signal was HFMD 3.24, followed by measles 2.48. The sensitivity of early warning signal is 44.44, the response rate is 100, and the timely response rate is increasing year by year. Conclusion the automatic early warning information system for infectious diseases is stable and plays an important role in the timely detection of key cases and the early detection of outbreaks, but there are still some limitations in practical application, which need to be further improved.
【作者单位】：天津市河东区疾病预防控制中心;
【分类号】：R181.8

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