“全面两孩”政策背景下重庆市育龄妇女二孩生育意愿及影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-07-26 12:27

【摘要】：目的了解"全面两孩"政策背景下重庆市育龄妇女二孩生育意愿及影响因素,为生育政策的实施及配套社会政策的完善提供参考。方法采用分层多阶段抽样方法,选取重庆市6个区县的920名19~49岁重庆户籍育龄妇女进行问卷调查;采用卡方检验、多项Logistic回归模型进行二孩生育意愿影响因素分析。结果回收有效问卷904份,其中有二孩生育意愿者327人(36.2%),无意愿者326人(36.1%),不确定者251人(27.8%)。回归分析结果显示,户籍(OR=2.007,P=0.005)、受教育程度(大专或本科OR=3.362,P=0.044;硕士及以上OR=6.101,P=0.005)、父母态度(支持OR=6.174,P=0.001;中立OR=1.960,P=0.046)是其选择有意愿的影响因素;民族(OR=3.855,P=0.008)、年龄(40岁及以上OR=4.153,P=0.003)、家庭人口总数(1个OR=2.380,P=0.011)、生育状况(OR=2.441,P=0.006)、父母态度(反对OR=5.836,P0.001)是其选择无意愿的影响因素。结论 "全面两孩"政策对重庆市育龄妇女二孩生育意愿影响有限。户籍、民族、年龄、受教育程度、家庭人口总数、生育状况、父母态度是影响育龄妇女二孩生育意愿的重要因素。
[Abstract]:Objective to understand the fertility intention and influencing factors of the second child of women of childbearing age in Chongqing under the background of "comprehensive two-child" policy, and to provide a reference for the implementation of fertility policy and the improvement of supporting social policy. Methods A questionnaire survey was conducted among 920 Chongqing women aged 19 to 49 years old in Chongqing by stratified multi-stage sampling, and the influencing factors of two-child fertility intention were analyzed by chi-square test and multiple Logistic regression models. Results 904 valid questionnaires were collected, of which 327 (36.2%) were two-child desire, 326 (36.1%) were unintentional, and 251 (27.8%) were uncertain. The results of regression analysis showed that household registration (ORO 2.007 / P0. 005), education level (college or undergraduate) (OR3. 362 P0. 044; Master's degree or above 6. 101 / P0. 005), parents' attitude (support OR1. 174 P0. 001; neutral OR1-1. 960P0. 046) were the influencing factors of their willingness to choose. Ethnic group (ORO 3.855 P0. 008), age (40 years old and above), total family population (1 OR2. 380 P0. 011), fertility status (OR2. 441 P0. 006) and parents' attitude (against OR5. 836 P0. 001) were the influential factors of their unwillingness to choose. Conclusion the policy of "full-scale two-child" has limited influence on the desire of second-child in Chongqing women of childbearing age. Household registration, nationality, age, education level, total family population, fertility status and attitude of parents are the important factors that influence the desire of second child of women of childbearing age.
【作者单位】：重庆医科大学公共卫生与管理学院医学与社会发展研究中心健康领域社会风险预测治理协同创新中心;中共重庆市委党校教务处;重庆市卫生和计划生育委员会卫生监督局;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金课题一般项目:供需协调视角下我国失独家庭养老支持政策创新研究(16BRK013)
【分类号】：C924.21;R17

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