户籍制度对农村劳动力流动趋势的影响分析——基于改进的托达罗模型

发布时间：2018-04-20 21:26

本文选题：户籍制度 + 劳动力流动　；参考：《陕西师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2013年06期

【摘要】：户籍制度对劳动力流动的影响一直是我国学者研究的重点。劳动力流动过程可分为两个过程和一个过渡时期,通过在托达罗模型中引入户籍制度因素,并将预期收入改进为预期效用构建我国户籍制度与劳动力流动规模的计量模型,运用1991—2011年相关数据进行验证,结果表明户籍制度在两个过程中分别发挥着相反的作用。在第一个过程中,户籍制度的作用主要表现为城乡间实际收入的差距推动农村人口流向城市;但是在第二个过程中,由于权益福利的限制及城市二元劳动力市场的存在,户籍制度的作用主要表现为城乡间生活成本的巨大差距阻碍农村劳动力进入城市并成为真正的产业工人。因此,户籍制度改革措施需要区分具体阶段,同时需要土地、财税以及金融体制的联动改革以配合。
[Abstract]:The impact of household registration system on labor mobility has been the focus of Chinese scholars. The labor flow process can be divided into two processes and a transitional period. By introducing the household registration system into the Todaro model and improving the expected income into the expected utility, the paper constructs a measurement model of the household registration system and the scale of labor mobility in China. The results show that the household registration system plays an opposite role in the two processes. In the first process, the function of the household registration system mainly shows that the gap of real income between urban and rural areas promotes the rural population to flow to the city; however, in the second process, due to the restriction of rights and benefits and the existence of the urban dual labor market, The function of household registration system is that the huge gap of living cost between urban and rural areas hinders the rural labor force to enter the city and become a real industrial worker. Therefore, the reform measures of household registration system need to distinguish the specific stages, at the same time, it needs the linkage reform of land, finance and taxation and financial system to coordinate.
【作者单位】：西安交通大学经济与金融学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(12&ZD071)
【分类号】：D631.42;F323.6

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