美国TPP经济战略研究

发布时间:2018-12-08 09:37
【摘要】:TPP是泛太平洋经济合作伙伴关系协议的英文简称。最早是2005年新加坡、新西兰、智利、文莱四国在APEC框架内签定的多边自由贸易协定。其核心内容就是成员之间彼此承诺在货物贸易、服务贸易、知识产权以及投资等领域相互给予优惠并加强合作。TPP具有高度开放性、全面自由以及高标准的特征。TPP最初并不为世人所知,2009年由于美国的加入而引起全球关注。全球性金融危机之后,美国经济受到重创,出口大幅度滑坡、失业率大幅攀升。与此同时,东亚经济一体化进程在危机面前迅速加快,产生了各种经济贸易合作机制,如确定东亚共同体长期目标的“10+3”、已启动的中国—东盟自由贸易区以及正在筹备之中的东盟“10+6”。而APEC在美国的主导下,发展陷入了困境,逐渐被边缘化。在这一背景下,美国宣布加入TPP,为振兴本国经济以及介入东亚地区经济整合开通了一种渠道。美国加入后积极推动TPP的发展和扩大,澳大利亚、秘鲁、越南、马来西亚、墨西哥、加拿大以及日本等国都先后加入。根据IMF的相关数据显示,, TPP10国在2010年的GDP总量约占世界总量的35.5%,约为22.3万亿美元,TPP也将因此成为世界最大的自贸区。 美国“高调”加入TPP并积极推动TPP的目的一方面是为开创新的贸易模式并主导未来的贸易规则,保持其在亚洲主导权,另一方面也是为了摆脱全球经济金融危机的影响,希望借助于TPP重新介入亚太地区,开拓新市场,为实现美国“国家出口计划”创造条件,最终实现亚太经济自由贸易区。 美国主导的TPP的发展对美国和亚太地区甚至是全球经济的发展都会产生深远的影响。在短期内对美国经济增长有限,但是会对其他TPP成员国家特别是小成员国经济的发展有益,对非TPP成员国则会产生负面效应。从长期来看,TPP对美国具有重要的经济战略意义,有利于提升美国企业在国际市场上的竞争力,提升美国在亚太地区的经济影响力,从而实现其在亚太经济中的主导地位。 未来美国主导下的TPP发展趋势如何,TPP对世界以及亚太地区的经济将会产生怎样的影响,特别是对作为亚太地区的中国产生怎样的影响,弄清这些问题对中国的对外贸易以及经济发展具有重要的现实意义。 本文在介绍TPP内容和特点,以及对美国加入TPP的背景的基础上,重点分析了美国主导TPP的战略意图,以及美国推动TPP的发展对其自身以及周边亚太地区国家的经济的影响分析,并且对作为世界最大发展中国家的中国如何应对TPP的发展给出建议。
[Abstract]:TPP is the abbreviation of the Pan Pacific Economic Partnership Agreement. In 2005, Singapore, New Zealand, Chile and Brunei signed multilateral free trade agreements within the framework of the APEC. At its core is the commitment of members to give each other preferences and strengthen cooperation in the areas of trade in goods, trade in services, intellectual property and investment. TPP is highly open. Full freedom and high standards. The TPP was initially unknown and attracted global attention in 2009 as a result of the United States' accession. In the wake of the global financial crisis, the U.S. economy was hit hard, exports slumped and unemployment soared. At the same time, the process of economic integration in East Asia accelerated rapidly in the face of the crisis, resulting in various mechanisms of economic and trade cooperation, such as the "103", which set the long-term objectives of the East Asian Community, China-ASEAN Free Trade area has been launched and ASEAN 10 6 is under preparation. APEC in the United States under the leadership of development into a dilemma, gradually marginalized. In this context, the entry of the United States into the TPP, provides a channel for revitalizing its own economy and intervening in the economic integration of East Asia. The United States actively promoted the development and expansion of the TPP after its accession, including Australia, Peru, Vietnam, Malaysia, Mexico, Canada and Japan. TPP10 countries accounted for about 35.5bn of the world's total GDP in 2010, or about $22.3 trillion, according to IMF data, making TPP the world's largest free trade zone. The purpose of the "high-profile" entry of the United States into the TPP and the active promotion of the TPP is, on the one hand, to create a new trade model and to dominate future trade rules, and to maintain its dominance in Asia, on the other hand, to extricate itself from the impact of the global economic and financial crisis. With the help of TPP, we hope to re-enter the Asia-Pacific region, open up new markets, create conditions for the realization of the "National Export Plan" of the United States, and finally realize the Asia-Pacific Economic Free Trade area. The development of TPP led by the United States will have a profound impact on the development of the United States, the Asia-Pacific region and even the global economy. In the short term, there is limited economic growth for the United States, but it will benefit the economies of other TPP member countries, especially small ones, and will have a negative effect on non-TPP members. In the long run, TPP is of great economic strategic significance to the United States, which is conducive to enhancing the competitiveness of American enterprises in the international market and enhancing the economic influence of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region, thus realizing its dominant position in the Asia-Pacific economy. What is the development trend of TPP under the leadership of the United States in the future? what impact will TPP have on the world and the economy of the Asia-Pacific region, especially on China, as the Asia-Pacific region? Understanding these problems is of great practical significance to China's foreign trade and economic development. On the basis of introducing the content and characteristics of TPP and the background of the United States joining in TPP, this paper emphatically analyzes the strategic intention of the United States to lead the TPP. This paper also analyzes the impact of the United States' promotion of TPP on its own economy and that of the neighboring Asia-Pacific countries, and gives some suggestions on how China, as the largest developing country in the world, can cope with the development of TPP.
【学位授予单位】:吉林大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F171.2

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