全球价值链视角下中国制造业出口贸易分解分析——基于最新的基于最新的WIDD数据

发布时间：2018-01-11 03:11

本文关键词：全球价值链视角下中国制造业出口贸易分解分析——基于最新的基于最新的WIDD数据　出处：《经济学家》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文利用最新的WIOD数据和WWZ方法对2000—2014年中国制造业出口贸易增加值进行了分解分析。结果表明:(1)中国制造业出口中国内增加值占比呈先降后升趋势,这是因为金融危机后贸易保护主义抬头和反全球化浪潮高涨,严重破坏了全球价值链的分工和合作;(2)以最终品出口的国内增加值占主导地位,而以中间品出口的国内增加值上升趋势明显,表明中国制造业正从全球价值链低端向中高端攀升;(3)以最终品出口的国外增加值显著高于以中间品出口的国外增加值,表明中国制造业主要从事进口零部件进行最终品组装的低端环节;(4)直接进口国增加值明显低于其他国增加值,说明中国制造业出口中国外增加值主要是来自直接进口国以外的其他经济体;(5)来自于国外账户的纯重复计算部分显著高于来自于国内账户的纯重复计算部分,表明中国制造业的国际生产分工程度高于国内生产分工;(6)中国高技术制造业参与全球价值链程度最高,但只是参与全球价值链中较为低端的生产环节,技术含量并不高;(7)中国中低技术制造业在全球价值链中具有相对优势地位,较为成功地融入全球价值链。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the latest WIOD data and WWZ method are used to analyze the value added of China's manufacturing exports from 2000 to 2014. The results show that: 1). The proportion of China's manufacturing exports to China's domestic added value declined first and then rose. This is because of the rise of trade protectionism and the rising tide of anti-globalization after the financial crisis, which has seriously damaged the division of labor and cooperation in global value chains. (2) the domestic value added of the final goods export is dominant, while the domestic value added value of the intermediate goods export is rising obviously, which indicates that the Chinese manufacturing industry is rising from the low end of the global value chain to the middle and high end of the global value chain; (3) the foreign added value of the final export is significantly higher than that of the intermediate export, which indicates that the Chinese manufacturing industry is mainly engaged in the low-end process of the final product assembly of imported parts; (4) the added value of direct importing country is obviously lower than that of other countries, which indicates that the value added of China's manufacturing export is mainly from other economies other than the direct importing country. (5) the net double-counting part from foreign accounts is significantly higher than that from domestic accounts, indicating that the international production division of Chinese manufacturing is higher than that of domestic production division; (6) China's high-tech manufacturing industry has the highest degree of participation in the global value chain, but it only participates in the lower end of the global value chain, and the technical content is not high. China's low and medium technology manufacturing industry has a comparative advantage in the global value chain and has been successfully integrated into the global value chain.
【作者单位】：国家信息中心经济预测部;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“全球价值链视角下的中国进出口贸易分解及对经济发展的影响研究”(15CTJ002) 全国统计科学研究重点项目“全球价值链视角下我国出口贸易增加值核算及其潜力分析”(2016LZ04)
【分类号】：F424;F752.62
【正文快照】： 改革开放以来,中国凭借要素成本优势和优良的基础设施支持,以加工贸易的方式,较为快速地融入到了全球价值链(GVC)生产分工体系中,不仅实现了贸易量的迅速扩大和制造业的高速成长,同时也推动了中国工业化水平和经济的快速增长。目前,全球价值链已成为全球经济的显著特征,更是经

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