新兴产业国际贸易条件变动趋势及影响因素研究——基于高端和传统装备制造业的比较

发布时间：2018-02-01 00:23

本文关键词： 国际贸易条件新兴产业装备制造业外商直接投资汇率波动贸易壁垒价格贸易条件收入贸易条件　出处：《南京审计大学学报》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于2007—2015年高端装备制造业与传统装备制造业的数据对比,建立ISIC Rev.4与SITC Rev.4行业对照表,采用双层CES函数形式的价格指数分析新兴产业国际贸易条件的变动趋势,同时运用熵权-灰色关联分析法分析汇率、经济增长、直接投资和市场需求变化四个影响因素与新兴产业及传统产业价格贸易条件、收入贸易条件之间的密切程度。研究结果表明:新兴产业价格贸易条件波动幅度较大,且其恶化趋势相对于传统产业更为严重;与传统产业相比,FDI和市场需求对新兴产业的影响程度更为显著;汇率与新兴产业及传统产业的价格贸易条件之间的关系非常密切,但对新兴产业价格贸易条件的影响更大。
[Abstract]:Based on the data comparison between high-end equipment manufacturing industry and traditional equipment manufacturing industry from 2007 to 2015, an industry comparison table of ISIC Rev.4 and SITC Rev.4 is established. The price index in the form of double-layer CES function is used to analyze the changing trend of international trade terms of emerging industries, and the entropy weight-grey relational analysis method is used to analyze the exchange rate and economic growth. Direct investment and market demand change four influencing factors and new industry and traditional industry price terms of trade. The results show that the fluctuation of the terms of trade of the new industry is large, and its worsening trend is more serious than that of the traditional industry; Compared with the traditional industries, FDI and market demand have a more significant impact on the emerging industries. The exchange rate is closely related to the terms of trade of the emerging industry and the traditional industry, but it has a greater impact on the terms of trade of the new industry.
【作者单位】：中南大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71473276)
【分类号】：F426
【正文快照】： 培育和发展战略性新兴产业是立足中国经济长远发展的一项重大战略方针。近年来中国新兴产业在国际上的市场规模不断扩大,然而规模的扩大并不意味着从中获益增多,获益的多少还与贸易条件密切相关[1],新兴产业贸易条件关系到一个国家在国际市场中的竞争实力或竞争地位。随着中国

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