国内产业转移对我国工业能源效率影响的空间计量分析

发布时间：2018-03-24 12:00

本文选题：产业转移　切入点：工业能源效率　出处：《中国矿业大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济的发展,能源消耗量的增大,我国目前面临着能源短缺的危机。为缓解能源短缺问题,我国政府把能源问题摆在了战略高度,并为此做出了一系列的努力。在能源发展的“十二五规划”中就制定了推动我国能源转型的相关措施。在“十三五”规划中政府又建立了清洁低碳的现代能源体系构想,制定了在此期间能源发展的战略目标。从中可以看出政府对于我国能源发展的重视,而能源的高效利用是能源能够可持续发展的关键。近年来,东部地区产业结构调整以及中西部地区为了经济发展的需要,东部地区的产业不断向中部和西部地区转移,然而产业转移一方面给中西部地区的经济发展做出了很大贡献,但是另一方面对当地能源效率的提高产生了不利影响。基于此,本文从空间经济学的角度,探讨了国内产业转移对我国工业能源效率的影响及其空间溢出效应,并为提升我国工业能源效率和探索产业转移新模式提出了相关政策建议。本文的主要研究结论如下:(1)对我国2005-2014年的工业能源消费状况和国内产业转移的现状以及我国工业能源效率的空间分布特征进行了描述性分析。结果表明:我国2005-2014年的工业能源消费呈现东部地区最大,西部地区最小,中部次之的态势,但是东部地区的工业能源消费占全国的比重有下降的趋势。我国工业能源效率的变化情况与我国产业转移的梯度规律一致,呈现的是由东部沿海地区向西部内陆递减的特征,即工业能效较高的省区主要位于东部沿海区域,而工业能源效率较低的区域主要是经济发展落后的中部和西部内陆区域。此外,从区域和分产业的角度对我国的工业能源效率分别进行了空间自相关检验。Moran’s I指数分析表示,我国工业能效的空间分布不是相互独立,而是有着显著的空间相关性。(2)通过构建空间面板数据模型,对国内产业转移对我国区域工业能源效率的影响进行了空间计量分析。研究结果表明:产业转移不但会对承接地的工业能源效率产生影响,还会影响其邻近区域工业能源效率的高低。从全国整体来看,产业转移对我国工业能源效率起到了正向影响,而对我国工业能源效率产生了负向的空间溢出效应。从东部地区来看,东部地区转出传统产业对其工业能源效率产生了正向的影响,而且还会通过示范效应和竞争效应等对其周边地区产生正向的空间溢出效应。从中西部地区来看,作为承接地承接转入的产业对其工业能源效率产生了负向的影响,而且还会对其周边邻近地区的工业能源效率产生负向的影响,即负向的空间溢出效应。(3)运用不同要素密集度的产业分类方法,并按照国际贸易分类标准,把我国工业部门分成资源密集型、劳动密集型以及资本密集型三类产业,并在此基础上,通过构建空间计量模型的方法,研究产业转移对我国不同产业能源效率的影响及其空间溢出效应。研究结果表明:产业转移对我国省域资源密集型产业能源效率的提升起到了负向的作用,且资源密集型产业的转移也会对其周边区域的能源效率产生负向的空间溢出效应。产业转移对本地区劳动密集型产业的能源效率产生正向的促进作用,但是对于其周边的地区的相应能源效率的提升却有负向的抑制作用。而资本密集型的产业转移不仅会对本地区相应能源效率产生负向作用,对于其周边地区的资本密集型产业能源效率也具有负向的空间溢出效应。
[Abstract]:With the development of China's economy, energy consumption increasing, China is facing a crisis of energy shortage. In order to alleviate the energy shortage problem, our government put energy issues in the strategic height, and made a series of efforts in energy development in the "12th Five-Year plan" was made to promote related measures of energy transformation in China. In 13th Five-Year the government also established the planning ideas of modern clean low-carbon energy system, formulate the strategic objectives of energy development during this period. As can be seen from the government for the development of our country's energy value, and efficient use of energy is energy could be the key to sustainable development in recent years. In order to develop economy, need to adjust the industrial structure of the eastern region and the central and western regions, the eastern industrial transfer to the central and western regions, but the industry transfer to the western. Made a great contribution to the economic development zone, but has a negative impact on the other hand to improve the local energy efficiency. Based on this, this article from the perspective of spatial economics, and discusses the spatial spillover effect of domestic industry influence on industrial energy efficiency of China's transfer, and to enhance our industrial energy efficiency and exploration of industrial transfer the new model put forward relevant policy suggestions. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) a descriptive analysis on China's 2005-2014 years of industrial energy consumption and domestic industrial transfer as well as the status of China's industrial energy efficiency spatial distribution characteristics. The results show that: China's 2005-2014 years of industrial energy consumption in the eastern part of the maximum and minimum in western region, Nakabe Jinno's situation, but the eastern part of the industrial energy consumption accounted for the proportion has declined. The industrial energy efficiency in China The change is consistent with China's industrial transfer distribution, characterized by decreasing from the eastern coastal areas to the inland West, namely industrial energy efficiency provinces are mainly located in the eastern coastal region, and industrial energy efficiency lower area is mainly the backward economic development in central and western inland areas. In addition, from the regional and industry point of view on China's industrial energy efficiency of spatial autocorrelation test.Moran s I index analysis indicated that the spatial distribution of China's industrial energy efficiency is not independent of each other, but there are significant spatial correlation. (2) by constructing a spatial panel data model, the transfer of the domestic industry impact on energy efficiency in the area of industrial spatial econometric analysis. The results show that: industrial transfer will not only influence to undertake industrial energy efficiency, but also affects its neighboring region industry Energy efficiency. As a whole, the industry shifted to the positive impact on industrial energy efficiency in China, and had a negative spillover effect on industrial energy efficiency in our country. From the eastern region, the eastern region out of traditional industries have a positive impact on the industrial energy efficiency, but also by demonstration effect and competition effect on the surrounding areas have positive spillover effect. View from the central and western regions to undertake the industrial transfer as the industrial energy efficiency has a negative impact, and industrial energy efficiency also to its neighboring regions have a negative impact, the negative spillover effects. (3) the use of industrial classification of different factor intensive, and in accordance with international trade classification standard, the industry of China is divided into resource intensive, labor-intensive and capital Intensive three types of industry, and on this basis, through the method of building spatial econometric model, study the influence of industry transfer on energy efficiency in different industries and their spatial spillover effects. The results show that: the transfer of industry to the negative effect on promoting China's provincial energy efficiency in resource intensive industries, and resource intensive industries will transfer to the surrounding areas of energy efficiency have negative spillover effects. The industrial transfer to the local labor intensive industrial energy efficiency has a positive role in promoting, but the corresponding energy efficiency of its surrounding areas to enhance has negative effects and capital intensive. The industrial transfer will not only have a negative effect on the local area of the corresponding energy efficiency, negative spillover effects to the surrounding region of capital intensive industry energy efficiency.

【学位授予单位】：中国矿业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F424;F121.3

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