服务出口能否成为“稳增长”的动力源——基于增加值测算的比较研究

发布时间：2018-04-13 10:19

本文选题：全球价值链 + 出口增加值　；参考：《国际经贸探索》2017年11期

【摘要】：在中国制造业出口增速面临快速下行的巨大压力下,能否依托服务出口重塑"稳增长"动力源,成为理论和实践部门亟待回答的重要课题。鉴于此,文章从增加值这一真实出口增长角度,运用WIOD最新发布的投入产出表,分别计算了中国和43个其他样本经济体2000~2014年的出口增加值、出口总额和出口附加值率等相关数据,通过行业层面和国别层面的比较研究发现:(1)与制造业相比,虽然传统总值核算法下中国服务业出口不到制造业的25%,但增加值层面的出口却已到制造业的80%左右,且从发展趋势看,制造业出口附加值呈下降趋势而服务出口增加值呈上升趋势。(2)从国际比较来看,无论基于传统总值核算还是增加值核算,中国服务出口占总出口比重低于各主要经济体甚至低于全球平
[Abstract]:Under the great pressure of rapid downward trend of China's manufacturing export growth rate, whether or not to rebuild the power source of "steady growth" by relying on service exports has become an important topic to be answered by theoretical and practical departments.In view of this, from the point of view of the real export growth, the paper calculates the export added value of China and 43 other sample economies from 2000 to 2014 using the input-output table published recently by WIOD.Through comparative studies at the industry level and at the country level, we found that the ratio of total exports and export value added, and so on, was compared with that of the manufacturing industry.Although China's service industry exports less than 25% of the manufacturing industry under the traditional gross value accounting method, the value added level exports have reached about 80% of the manufacturing industry, and from the perspective of the development trend,The value added of manufacturing exports shows a downward trend, while the added value of service exports shows an upward trend. (2) from the international point of view, whether based on traditional value accounting or value added accounting,China's exports of services as a share of total exports are lower than major economies or even lower than the global average
【作者单位】：无锡太湖学院商学院;安徽财经大学国际经济与贸易学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(16AJY018)
【分类号】：F424;F752.68

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