基于大数据的区域能源经济环境系统耦合模型研究及应用

发布时间：2018-04-18 20:23

本文选题：3E系统 + 大数据　；参考：《华北电力大学(北京)》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着社会的不断进步,经济发展、能源消耗与环境保护之间的关系变的越来越紧密。能源是经济发展的驱动和主要推动力,能源消耗存在利用率低、能源结构不合理等问题,从而导致了一系列环境问题的出现。因此,能源-经济-环境(Energy-Economy-Environment,3E)的协调发展问题,受到越来越多的关注。随着互联网技术的发展,数据采集技术日渐成熟,3E系统的数据量日渐庞大,存在海量、多元化的特性。本文通过对3E系统大数据的挖掘,从中提取对3E系统影响较大的指标。在此基础上,构建了以区域为尺度的能源、经济、环境系统耦合模型,为政府相关部门的决策者,提供理论依据和科学依据。本文主要完成以下工作:(1)基于Map Reduce并行处理框架,构建了粗糙集与信息熵的属性约简算法。并对已收集到的3E系统数据进行并行计算,结合京津冀区域特点,构建京津冀地区能源-经济-环境系统指标体系。(2)对3E系统发展进行定量化研究,构建基于主成份分析法的3E系统综合发展水平模型,并以京津冀地区为研究对象进行实例计算。(3)研究3E系统内在关系,构建“δ-θ-β”系列能源、经济、环境系统耦合模型。借鉴已有的“δ”模型的构建思路,构建基于“θ”的3E系统协调度模型。并以京津冀地区为研究对象对模型进行验证。在此基础上叠加“β”模型,对计算结果进行分析。(4)以Hadoop框架为基础搭建3E系统数据平台,将关系数据库中的数据转存至基于HBASE非关系型数据库,并更新和扩充3E数据库。(5)将3E系统耦合模型在“能源-经济-环境可持续发展决策支持”(简称3EDSS)平台上开发实现,提供接口供用户调用。并以京津冀为例,将模型研究步骤、实例计算、结果分析在应用研究模块上进行展示。
[Abstract]:With the development of society and economy, the relationship between energy consumption and environmental protection becomes more and more close.Energy is the driving and main driving force of economic development. Energy consumption has some problems, such as low utilization ratio and unreasonable energy structure, which leads to a series of environmental problems.Therefore, the coordinated development of Energy-Economy-Environment3E) has attracted more and more attention.With the development of Internet technology, data acquisition technology is becoming more and more mature.In this paper, the 3 e system big data mining, from which to extract the 3e system has a greater impact on the indicators.On this basis, the coupling model of energy, economy and environment system based on regional scale is constructed, which provides theoretical and scientific basis for the decision makers of relevant government departments.The main work of this paper is as follows: 1) based on the Map Reduce parallel processing framework, the attribute reduction algorithm of rough set and information entropy is constructed.Based on the data of 3e system and the characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the index system of energy, economy and environment system in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area is constructed to make a quantitative study on the development of 3e system.The comprehensive development level model of 3e system based on principal component analysis is constructed. Taking Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area as an example, the relationship of 3e system is studied, and the coupling model of "未-胃-尾" series energy, economy and environment system is constructed.Based on the existing "未" model, a 3e system coordination degree model based on "胃" is constructed.The model is validated by Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.On this basis, the "尾" model is superimposed, and the calculation results are analyzed. (4) based on the Hadoop framework, a 3e data platform is built to transfer the data from the relational database to the non-relational database based on HBASE.The 3e system coupling model is developed and implemented on the platform of "decision support for Energy-Economy-Environment Sustainable Development" (3EDSS), which provides the interface for users to call.Taking Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei as an example, the model research steps, the example calculation and the result analysis are presented on the application research module.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学(北京)
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.2;F127;TP311.13

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