能源消费结构优化视角下的中国区域能源效率研究

发布时间：2018-04-27 22:27

本文选题：生产函数 + DEA模型　；参考：《四川省社会科学院》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球经济的持续发展,人类对于能源的需求与日俱增,我国作为全球经济增长的重要引擎,仍然处于能源需求总量的上升阶段。在我国经济进入“新常态”的新形势下,能源结构不合理、总量增长过快、资源约束增强等问题仍然是制约我国经济社会发展的关键问题。随着我国加快推进供给侧结构性改革,能源供给结构和需求结构正在发生深刻变革。党的十八大明确提出“坚持资源节约和保护环境的基本国策”;党的十八届五中全会将“绿色发展”作为“十三五”规划的五大发展理念之一,提出进一步推动能源消费革命,在控制能源消费总量的前提下,加强节能降耗,确保国家能源安全。由于我国区域多方面的差异性,导致的能源结构与效率差异是我国能源发展的基本现实。当前,如何准确认识我国能源结构和效率的差异,针对性的提出能源效率提升政策,对于我国构建现代能源体系、推动能源生产和消费革命、实现绿色发展具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文首先选取能源消费结构作为研究视角,通过柯布-道格拉斯生产函数,取得相应系数以显示GDP与三类一次能源的比例关系,从而将笼统的GDP增长数据进行分离,获取由一次能源消费所带来的GDP增长量;随后,利用数据包络分析法,对上述增量连同一次能源投入等指标进行测算,得出更为客观的省际能源效率指标;最终,运用所获得的效率数据及一次能源投入量,对不同能源效率区域进行松弛变量分析,获得能够提高能源利用效率的区域能源消费结构目标值。本文的创新之处在于对GDP数据进行前期处理,获取仅由一次能源投入所产生的GDP增量,从而使随后的DEA模型结论更为合理、更具说服力。在进行效率分析的同时,改进了指标体系,突出全面性,充分考虑了相关负产出的测算。对全国区域运用松弛变量法测算达到最佳效率的能源结构目标值,以供行政规划参考。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of global economy, the demand for energy is increasing day by day. As an important engine of global economic growth, China is still in the rising stage of total energy demand. Under the new situation of China's economy entering the "new normal", the energy structure is unreasonable, the total amount increases too fast, and the resource constraints are strengthened, and so on, which are still the key problems restricting the economic and social development of our country. As our country speeds up the structural reform on the supply side, the structure of energy supply and demand is undergoing profound changes. The 18th National Congress of the Party clearly put forward "the basic national policy of adhering to the policy of saving resources and protecting the environment." the Fifth Plenary session of the 18th CPC Central Committee took "green development" as one of the five development concepts of the 13th Five-Year Plan, and proposed further promoting the revolution in energy consumption. Under the premise of controlling total energy consumption, we should strengthen energy conservation and reduce energy consumption to ensure national energy security. The difference of energy structure and efficiency is the basic reality of energy development in China. At present, how to accurately understand the difference of energy structure and efficiency in our country and put forward the policy of improving energy efficiency will promote the revolution of energy production and consumption in order to construct the modern energy system in our country. The realization of green development has important theoretical and practical significance. This paper firstly selects the energy consumption structure as the research angle, obtains the corresponding coefficient through the Cobb-Douglas production function to show the relation between GDP and three kinds of primary energy, and then separates the general GDP growth data. Get the GDP growth caused by primary energy consumption. Then, using the data envelopment analysis, we measure the above increment together with the primary energy input to get more objective inter-provincial energy efficiency indicators. Using the efficiency data and the input of primary energy, the relaxation variables of different energy efficiency regions are analyzed, and the target value of energy consumption structure in different energy efficiency regions is obtained. The innovation of this paper is that the GDP data is processed in the early stage, and the GDP increment produced by the primary energy input is obtained, which makes the conclusion of the subsequent DEA model more reasonable and persuasive. In the process of efficiency analysis, the index system is improved, and the measurement of related negative output is fully taken into account. The relaxation variable method is used to calculate the target value of energy structure to achieve the best efficiency in the whole country for the reference of administrative planning.
【学位授予单位】：四川省社会科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.2

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