中国鼓励清洁能源发展政策的区域性绩效评估

发布时间：2018-05-02 08:45

本文选题：清洁能源补贴 + 区域分配效应　；参考：《山东大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：在全球气候变暖的背景下,鼓励清洁能源发展成为许多国家的重要政策选择。中国作为全球最大的一次能源消费国和二氧化碳排放国,如何有效发展清洁能源也成为了政府的当务之急。中国能源消费结构以煤炭为主,鼓励发展清洁能源替代化石能源是促进经济向低碳转型、实现可持续发展的重要举措。当前,清洁能源的发展需要相关政府政策的有力支持。对不同的清洁能源补贴政策进行绩效评估,对清洁能源发展政策进行优化设计,有利于正确地引导清洁能源发展,发挥政策支持的最大作用。此外,中国作为一个发展中国家和转型经济体,区域发展不平衡问题明显。在此背景下,中国在制定清洁能源补贴政策时,应该考虑区域之间的差异性。为了评估不同清洁能源补贴政策的影响,本文构建了一个多国多区域CGE模型。该模型具有下列两个显著特点:一是该模型能够细分能源,可以细化评估各类政府政策对不同能源的影响;二是该模型是多国、多区域CGE模型,可以细化评估政府政策对不同区域的影响。在此,本文通过对不同清洁能源补贴政策的影响进行数值模拟,考察了不同政策对不同国家、不同地区的产品产出、能源消费及二氧化碳排放等因素的影响。最后,本文还对模型中主要参数进行了敏感性分析,探究了清洁能源补贴政策绩效的潜在影响因素。本文的主要结论如下:第一,鼓励清洁能源发展政策的影响不是中性的,不同地区、行业及国家受到的影响差异显著。本文提供了关于清洁能源补贴政策区域影响差异的详细信息,中央及地方政府在制定清洁能源补贴政策时,应当予以准确把握。第二,各项鼓励清洁能源发展政策绩效差异显著,主要表现在产出、能源消费、二氧化碳排放、碳强度等各个方面。所以,如何对清洁能源政策进行优化设计,成为政策制定者的当务之急。第三,政策目标设计,对于政策绩效的影响显著。第四,中国制定政策,务必要事先考察相关跨国外部性问题及其影响。对此,政策的相关制定者应当予以关注,进行准确度量。最后,政府实施鼓励清洁能源发展政策,降低了清洁能源行业的融资成本,政策导向促进了对清洁能源的投资,进而推动了经济的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:In the context of global warming, encouraging clean energy development has become an important policy choice for many countries. As the world's largest primary energy consumer and carbon dioxide emitter, how to effectively develop clean energy has also become a government priority. China's energy consumption structure is dominated by coal and encouraging the development of clean energy to replace fossil energy is an important measure to promote the economic transition to low-carbon and achieve sustainable development. At present, the development of clean energy needs the support of relevant government policies. Evaluating the performance of different clean energy subsidy policies and optimizing the design of clean energy development policies are helpful to guide the development of clean energy correctly and give full play to the maximum role of policy support. In addition, as a developing country and transition economy, China's regional development imbalance is obvious. In this context, China should consider regional differences in formulating clean energy subsidies. In order to evaluate the impact of different clean energy subsidy policies, a multi-country and multi-regional CGE model is constructed in this paper. The model has the following two notable characteristics: first, the model can subdivide energy, which can refine and evaluate the impact of various government policies on different sources of energy; second, the model is a multi-country, multi-regional CGE model. The impact of government policies on different regions can be assessed in detail. In this paper, the effects of different policies on product output, energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in different countries and regions are investigated by numerical simulation. Finally, the sensitivity of the main parameters in the model is analyzed, and the potential influencing factors of the performance of clean energy subsidy policy are explored. The main conclusions are as follows: first, the impact of policies to encourage clean energy development is not neutral, and there are significant differences among different regions, industries and countries. This paper provides detailed information on the regional impact of clean energy subsidy policies, which should be accurately grasped by central and local governments when formulating clean energy subsidy policies. Second, there are significant differences in the performance of various policies to encourage clean energy development, mainly in output, energy consumption, carbon dioxide emissions, carbon intensity and other aspects. Therefore, how to optimize the design of clean energy policy has become an urgent task for policy makers. Third, the design of policy objectives has a significant impact on policy performance. Fourth, China must make policy in advance to examine relevant transnational externalities and their implications. To this, the relevant policy maker should pay attention to, undertake accurate measurement. Finally, the government implements the policy of encouraging the development of clean energy, reduces the financing cost of clean energy industry, and promotes the investment in clean energy, thus promoting the sustainable development of economy.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.2

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