中国对哈萨克斯坦高技术含量工业制成品出口潜力分析

发布时间：2018-05-18 12:17

本文选题：工业制成品 + 高技术含量　；参考：《新疆财经》2017年01期

【摘要】：工业制成品在中哈贸易中的占比越来越大,中国对哈萨克斯坦高技术含量工业制成品出口在总量和种类上都实现了迅速发展。本文通过构建贸易引力模型对中国高技术含量工业制成品出口哈萨克斯坦的潜力进行实证研究,在此基础上通过脉冲响应分析找出贸易潜力的影响因素。结果表明:双方经济规模、哈国贸易自由度、高技术含量工业制成品消费价格指数对出口潜力有显著的促进作用;高技术含量工业制成品生产成本对贸易潜力有显著的抑制作用。且1996年—2015年中国对哈国高技术含量工业制成品出口潜力保持"潜力开拓型"和"潜力巨大型",中哈双方经济稳定增长、中哈投资合作为双方工业制成品贸易发展奠定了良好的基础;此外,"丝绸之路经济带"建设也使中国对哈国工业制成品出口潜力之大前所未有。
[Abstract]:The proportion of manufactured products in Sino-Kazakh trade is increasing, and China's export of high-tech manufactured goods to Kazakhstan has achieved rapid development in both total volume and variety. In this paper, an empirical study on the export potential of China's high-tech manufactured products to Kazakhstan is carried out by constructing a trade gravity model, and on this basis, the factors affecting the trade potential are found out by impulse response analysis. The results show that the economic scale of both sides, the degree of freedom of trade between Kazakhstan and Kazakhstan, and the consumer price index of industrial manufactured goods with high technology content have a significant effect on the export potential. The cost of manufacturing high-tech manufactured goods has a significant impact on trade potential. Moreover, from 1996 to 2015, China's export potential of high-tech manufactured goods to Kazakhstan maintained a "potential development" and a "huge potential", and the Chinese and Kazakh economies grew steadily. The investment cooperation between China and Kazakhstan has laid a good foundation for the development of trade in manufactured goods between the two countries, and the construction of the "Silk Road Economic Belt" has also made China's export potential of industrial manufactured goods to Kazakhstan unprecedented.
【作者单位】：新疆财经大学国际经贸学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学基金项目“亚行CAREC2020战略与中国(新疆)参与中亚区域经济合作研究”(13YJCGW001)
【分类号】：F752.62;F424

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