辽宁装备制造业风险评价与防范策略研究

发布时间：2018-05-27 00:38

本文选题：装备制造业 + 风险评价　；参考：《沈阳工业大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：装备制造业是辽宁省支柱产业,在辽宁省的经济发展中扮演着举足轻重的角色。近年来,随着全球产业结构的不断调整,外资的大量涌入,以及国内经济发展模式的转型,给辽宁省装备制造业带来了相当大的风险与挑战。目前对于辽宁省装备制造业风险研究多见于某一方面,如利用外资风险、财务风险以及投资风险等,且大多定性判断其安全状态,对于风险因素分析很少深入到整个产业本身并量化测度其影响程度。因此,有必要对辽宁省装备制造业的关键风险因素加以识别,对于降低产业风险,确保产业的健康发展有着重要意义。本文首先对辽宁省装备制造业的发展历程和发展水平进行研究,总结出辽宁省装备制造业面临的内外部风险,然后从产业运行绩效、产业竞争力、产业对外依存度、产业控制力四个因素入手,建立了辽宁省装备制造业产业风险的评价指标体系。基于因子分析法,对2012年全国三十个省市地区的装备制造业综合水平进行横向对比,结果表明,辽宁省装备制造业产业安全状况在全国居于中等水平,在效率方面需要进一步提高。并且基于模糊综合评价法构建产业安全度测算模型,对2001~2013年期间辽宁省装备制造业产业风险等级状况及变化趋势进行测度分析并进行综合评价。研究结果表明,辽宁省装备制造业产业安全状况逐渐转好,目前属于基本安全等级。在结合以上研究的基础上,有针对性的建立了辽宁省装备制造业风险监测预警系统。并且从政府和企业两个层面,提出了装备制造业风险防范的具体措施,为政府推进辽宁省装备制造业健康发展提供思路和政策建议。
[Abstract]:Equipment manufacturing industry is a pillar industry in Liaoning Province, which plays an important role in the economic development of Liaoning Province. In recent years, with the continuous adjustment of the global industrial structure, the influx of foreign capital and the transformation of domestic economic development model, the equipment manufacturing industry in Liaoning Province has brought considerable risks and challenges. At present, the research on equipment manufacturing risk in Liaoning Province is mostly seen in some aspects, such as the risk of utilizing foreign capital, financial risk and investment risk, and most of them judge their safety state qualitatively. The risk factor analysis rarely goes deep into the whole industry itself and quantifies its influence degree. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the key risk factors of Liaoning equipment manufacturing industry, which is of great significance to reduce the industrial risk and ensure the healthy development of the industry. This paper firstly studies the development process and development level of Liaoning equipment manufacturing industry, summarizes the internal and external risks faced by Liaoning equipment manufacturing industry, and then from the performance of industrial operation, industrial competitiveness, industry external dependence, Starting with the four factors of industrial control, the evaluation index system of equipment manufacturing industry risk in Liaoning Province is established. Based on factor analysis, the comprehensive level of equipment manufacturing industry in 30 provinces and cities of China in 2012 was compared horizontally. The results show that the safety situation of equipment manufacturing industry in Liaoning Province is at the middle level in the whole country. Further improvements in efficiency are needed. Based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, the industrial safety degree model is constructed to measure and analyze the risk grade and trend of equipment manufacturing industry in Liaoning province from 2001 to 2013. The research results show that the equipment manufacturing industry safety status in Liaoning Province has gradually improved, which belongs to the basic safety grade. Based on the above research, the risk monitoring and warning system of Liaoning equipment manufacturing industry is established. And from the two levels of government and enterprise, put forward the equipment manufacturing industry risk prevention specific measures, for the government to promote the healthy development of equipment manufacturing industry in Liaoning Province to provide ideas and policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：沈阳工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F426.4

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