资源型重工业城市转型升级的路径选择——基于要素价格改革视域分析

发布时间：2018-06-06 09:48

本文选题：低要素价格体系 + 经济增长方式　；参考：《价格理论与实践》2017年01期

【摘要】：低利率、低价格的要素价格体系是我国资源型重工业城市中劳动力、土地、资本密集增长的主要原因,其结果是高投入、高能耗、高污染的不可持续的经济增长。本文基于改进的柯布-道格拉斯生产函数模型,采用资源型重工业城市唐山1994-2015年的时间序列数据,应用协整理论、格兰杰因果检验对唐山市经济增长方式进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,粗放的固定资产投资仍然是经济增长的主要动力,科技投入长期弹性较大但短期产出弹性较小,就业人数对经济增长有显著的负向作用,这说明当前资源型重工业城市经济增长内生动力尚且不足。建议资源型重工业城市转型升级的路径选择要从构建并完善创新体系、深化供给侧结构改革、加大人力资本投入、产业升级转型与生态环境转型并重等方面着力。
[Abstract]:The factor price system of low interest rate and low price is the main reason for the intensive growth of labor, land and capital in the resource-based heavy industrial cities in China. The result is the unsustainable economic growth with high input, high energy consumption and high pollution. Based on the improved Cobb-Douglas production function model, using the time series data of Tangshan, a resource-based heavy industrial city from 1994 to 2015, and applying the co-integration theory, Granger causality test, the paper makes an empirical study on the economic growth mode of Tangshan City. The results show that extensive fixed asset investment is still the main driving force of economic growth. The long-term elasticity of science and technology investment is large, but the short-term output elasticity is small. The employment population has a significant negative effect on economic growth. This shows that the current resource-based heavy industry city economic growth endogenous power is not enough. It is suggested that the path selection for the transformation and upgrading of resource-based heavy industrial cities should focus on constructing and perfecting the innovation system deepening the supply-side structural reform increasing the investment of human capital and paying equal attention to the transformation of industrial upgrading and ecological environment.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学;华北理工大学;
【基金】：中国人民大学公共管理学院研究生科学研究基金项目(项目编号:2015012) 国家自然科学基金项目“城镇化演进中的城乡住房融合研究:机理剖析、分析框架与现实路径”(项目编号:71673285)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F427

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