广东省制造业空间格局演化及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-11-04 09:16

【摘要】：本文基于二位数制造业数据,探究了2000—2014年广东省制造业空间格局的演化及影响因素。研究表明,广东省制造业以2005年为拐点,总体呈现先集聚后分散的特征,但行业差异明显。技术密集型产业在珠三角地区保持高集聚的趋势,资本密集型及劳动密集型产业则以不同的扩散速度趋于分散。空间计量回归结果表明,劳动力成本上升及运输成本下降并非广东制造业空间格局演化的主要原因,市场潜力及产业内联系所带来的正外部性抵消了土地等成本提升所带来的负效应。而且,各种影响因素在不同行业的作用不同:市场潜力显著影响劳动密集型产业,资本密集型产业的空间集聚受政府行为影响较大,产业联系则促进技术密集型产业的集聚。
[Abstract]:Based on double-digit manufacturing data, this paper explores the evolution of manufacturing spatial pattern in Guangdong Province from 2000 to 2014 and its influencing factors. The study shows that the manufacturing industry of Guangdong Province takes 2005 as the inflection point and presents the characteristics of agglomeration first and then dispersing, but the industry difference is obvious. The trend of high concentration of technology-intensive industries in the Pearl River Delta region is maintained, while capital-intensive and labor-intensive industries tend to disperse at different rates of diffusion. The results of spatial econometric regression show that the increase of labor cost and the decrease of transportation cost are not the main reasons for the evolution of the spatial pattern of Guangdong manufacturing industry. Market potential and positive externalities from intra-industry linkages offset the negative effects of rising costs such as land. Moreover, the effects of various influencing factors are different in different industries: market potential significantly affects labor-intensive industries, spatial agglomeration of capital-intensive industries is greatly affected by government behavior, and industrial linkages promote agglomeration of technology-intensive industries.
【作者单位】：华南理工大学经济与贸易学院;东莞市长安镇人民政府统计办公室;
【基金】：广东省科技计划项目(2014A070703014) 广州市哲学社会科学“十二五”规划课题(15Y06) 华南理工大学中央高校基本科研业务费资助(2015ZM196)
【分类号】：F427

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