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基于供给侧视角的辽宁省工业结构升级的影响因素分析

发布时间:2018-12-24 10:32
【摘要】:辽宁省作为“共和国装备部”具备坚实的工业根柢,立足本省资源优势,形成了以装备制造业等重工业为主的工业结构,带动了当地经济的快速发展,然而近几年,伴随我国经济进入新常态,辽宁省经济下行压力不断增大,工业结构升级缓慢,除了日渐弱化的传统生产要素比较优势外,人员外流,创新不足,体制僵化,改革滞后等因素更是制约其工业结构升级的症结所在,因此,适时供给侧改革的提出,本文从要素供给视角出发,寻求支持工业结构升级的新动力源以及能够充分释放要素供给活力的制度改革。通过梳理学者们对工业结构升级及要素供给理论成果的基础上,本文从工业发展模式升级、工业产业间结构升级、工业产品结构升级多层次多角度对工业结构升级进行系统研究,且重点从供给侧因素视角,构建了包含物质资本积累、人力资本、技术资本、企业所有制结构改革和对外开放政策在内的供给要素来探究新阶段驱动工业结构升级的因素。在此基础上,重点对辽宁省工业结构以及要素供给的发展与现状同国内部分发达省份进行了对比分析,结果发现辽宁省存在技术资本投入强度低,创新性人才不足,所有制结构改革滞后等方面的问题。并利用我国30个省份近来10年的数据构建了面板模型进行实证分析,结论是:技术资本和对外开放政策是驱动工业结构升级核心力量;物质资本积累和人力资本仅对工业结构升级的两个维度发挥了显著作用,说明物质资本积累和人力资本是驱动工业结构升级的次强效因素,而所有制结构改革仅对工业发展模式升级发挥出了显著的促进作用,说明所有制结构改革对工业结构升级的作用力度并不大,属于弱效因素。综合以上分析结果认为新阶段加快辽宁省工业结构升级应重点从以下几个方面进行改进:(1)加大培养创新型人才的力度,提升自主创新能力;(2)加大RD经费投入力度,优化其配置结构;(3)继续深化企业所有制改革,提升非公经济发展水平。(4)继续优化引资软环境,优化外资分布行业结构。
[Abstract]:Liaoning Province, as the "equipment Ministry of the Republic", has a solid industrial foundation, based on the province's resource advantages, and has formed an industrial structure dominated by heavy industry, such as equipment manufacturing, which has led to the rapid development of the local economy. However, in recent years, With China's economy entering the new normal, the downward pressure on the economy of Liaoning Province is constantly increasing, and the industrial structure is upgrading slowly. In addition to the comparative advantages of the traditional factors of production that are weakening day by day, there is an outflow of personnel, insufficient innovation, and rigid system. The factors such as lag of reform are the crux of the upgrading of industrial structure. Therefore, the timely supply-side reform is put forward in this paper from the angle of factor supply. To seek new sources of power to support industrial structure upgrading and institutional reforms that can fully release the vitality of supply of essential elements. Based on the theoretical achievements of the scholars on the upgrading of industrial structure and the supply of industrial elements, this paper analyzes the upgrading of the industrial development model and the upgrading of the industrial inter-industry structure. The industrial product structure upgrading is systematically studied from multi-level and multi-angle, and the material capital accumulation, human capital and technical capital are constructed from the point of view of supply-side factors. The supply factors, including the reform of enterprise ownership structure and the policy of opening to the outside world, are used to explore the factors driving the upgrading of industrial structure in the new stage. On this basis, the development and present situation of industrial structure and factor supply of Liaoning Province are compared with that of some developed provinces in China. The results show that Liaoning Province has low technical capital investment intensity and shortage of innovative talents. Ownership structure reform lags behind and other aspects of the problem. Based on the data of 30 provinces in recent 10 years, a panel model is constructed for empirical analysis. The conclusions are as follows: technical capital and opening policy are the core forces driving industrial structure upgrading; Material capital accumulation and human capital only play a significant role in the two dimensions of industrial structure upgrading, indicating that material capital accumulation and human capital are the second most effective factors driving industrial structure upgrading. The ownership structure reform has only played a significant role in promoting the upgrading of the industrial development model, indicating that the ownership structure reform does not play a significant role in the upgrading of the industrial structure and belongs to the weak effect factor. The results of the above analysis suggest that the following aspects should be improved in order to speed up the upgrading of Liaoning's industrial structure in the new stage: (1) to strengthen the training of innovative talents and to enhance the ability of independent innovation; (2) to increase the investment of RD funds and optimize its configuration structure; (3) to deepen the reform of enterprise ownership and promote the development level of non-public economy; (4) to optimize the soft environment of attracting foreign capital and optimize the industrial structure of foreign capital distribution.
【学位授予单位】:辽宁大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F427

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