云南省工业经济时空差异及增长趋同分析

发布时间：2018-12-26 18:53

【摘要】：作为国民经济的主导部门,工业一直为国家或地区的发展与建设提供坚实的物质基础,它是一个地区进步与繁荣的集中体现。对于云南省而言,工业是其国民经济的核心产业,随着市场经济的不断发展,云南省工业经济也得到了前所未有的进步。然而,因政府政策、区位、自然禀赋、人才等诸多因素的影响,云南省各州市工业经济也存在较大差异,而这种差异的存在,除了会对区域工业经济协调发展予以影响外,还会阻碍云南省整体经济社会的可持续发展。鉴于此,本文以云南省工业经济为研究对象,详细剖析与研究云南省各州市工业经济的时空差异与增长趋同,进而在此基础上结合云南省实际情况,提出相应的区域调控解决策略。这对于提高全区工业化水平,实现云南省工业经济的可持续发展具有重要的理论价值与现实意义。本文首先对云南省整体工业经济发展现状予以定性描述,然后以地州市作为研究单元,论述云南省各地州市工业经济发展现状,立足于区域经济差异视角,借助绝对差异指标与相对差异指标来比较分析1998年至2014年间云南省工业经济的时空差异现状。同时在用相对差异指标测度过程中,利用泰尔指数将总差异分为两个部分,即区间差异与区内差异,通过细分来全面对云南省工业经济增长差异演变规律及来源构成予以揭示。通过本次实证分析表明:云南省工业经济增长差异变化呈“S”型特征,但从总体趋势上来看,其逐年缩小。区内差异与区间差异呈现“双缩小”的特征,但区内差异明显小于区间差异。所以,缩小当前云南省工业经济增长差异的首要任务就是缩小区间差异。在差异分析的基础上对云南省州市工业经济增长进行趋同研究,验证全省、滇中、边部和腹部各州市之间工业经济增长是否存在σ趋同、绝对β趋同以及条件β趋同的存在性。结果显示,云南省州市工业经济增长整体上存在σ趋同和绝对β趋同以及明显的条件β趋同,同时在1998年至2014年间绝对趋同速度为3.49个百分点。从区域角度来看,滇中、边部和腹部地区都存在σ趋同和条件β趋同。此外,借助条件β趋同分析我们不难发现,提高云南省各州市工业经济增长,实现工业经济协调可持续发展,云南省可以从提高滇腹、滇边地区的工业人力资本投资水平、加大工业物质资本投资力度、产业结构调整、加快滇腹、边部城市化进程等多方面着手。
[Abstract]:As the leading department of the national economy, industry has always provided a solid material basis for the development and construction of the country or region, which is the concentrated embodiment of the progress and prosperity of a region. For Yunnan Province, industry is the core industry of its national economy. With the development of market economy, the industrial economy of Yunnan Province has made unprecedented progress. However, due to the influence of government policy, location, natural endowment, talent and so on, there are great differences in the industrial economy of every city in Yunnan Province, and the existence of this difference will not only affect the coordinated development of regional industrial economy, but also influence the coordinated development of regional industrial economy. It will also hinder the overall economic and social sustainable development of Yunnan Province. In view of this, this paper takes the industrial economy of Yunnan Province as the research object, analyzes and studies in detail the spatial and temporal differences and the convergence of growth of industrial economy in various cities of Yunnan Province, and then combines the actual situation of Yunnan Province on this basis. The corresponding strategies of regional regulation and control are put forward. It has important theoretical value and practical significance for improving the industrialization level of the whole region and realizing the sustainable development of Yunnan's industrial economy. This paper first gives a qualitative description of the present situation of the overall industrial economy in Yunnan Province, and then takes the prefectural city as the research unit to discuss the present situation of the industrial economy development in various parts of Yunnan Province, based on the angle of view of regional economic difference. By means of absolute difference index and relative difference index, the present situation of temporal and spatial differences of industrial economy in Yunnan Province from 1998 to 2014 is compared and analyzed. At the same time, in the process of measuring the relative difference index, the total difference is divided into two parts, namely, the interval difference and the regional difference, and the evolution law and source composition of the industrial economic growth difference in Yunnan Province are revealed by subdivision. The empirical analysis shows that the variation of industrial economic growth in Yunnan Province is of "S" type, but it shrinks year by year from the general trend. The regional difference and the interval difference show the characteristic of "double narrowing", but the regional difference is obviously smaller than the interval difference. Therefore, reducing the current industrial economic growth gap in Yunnan Province is the first task is to narrow the interval gap. On the basis of difference analysis, this paper studies the convergence of industrial economic growth in Yunnan, and verifies the existence of 蟽 convergence, absolute 尾 convergence and conditional 尾 convergence in industrial economic growth between the whole province, central Yunnan, border and abdomen cities. The results show that there is 蟽 convergence, absolute 尾 convergence and obvious conditional 尾 convergence in the industrial economic growth in Yunnan Province, and the absolute convergence rate between 1998 and 2014 is 3.49 percentage points. From the regional point of view, there is 蟽 convergence and conditional 尾 convergence in central Yunnan, margin and abdomen. In addition, with the help of conditional 尾 convergence analysis, it is not difficult to find that in order to improve the industrial economic growth and realize the coordinated and sustainable development of industrial economy, Yunnan Province can improve the investment level of industrial human capital in Dian abdomen and Yunnan border areas. Increasing the investment of industrial material capital, adjusting industrial structure, speeding up the process of urbanization and so on.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F427

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