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金融资本影响巴基斯坦电力供需的实证分析

发布时间:2020-10-25 03:50
   巴基斯坦目前面临严重的能源危机问题,能源供应产业对现代国家的经济条件敏感,并且循环债务导致的石油和天然气产量在80%以上,煤炭和水电资源的最低利用和未开发的发电能力是电力和能源短缺的几个重要边界。此外,对电力和能源替代品可用勘探的减少,以及电力和能源价格的上涨反映了对基本用电和经济发展的考虑。电力和能源领域的增长必然伴随着经济的高速增长。因此,经济增长的波动性依赖于用电量本研究既考虑探索性研究设计,又考虑描述性研究设计。探索性研究设计的目的是探索前人未探索过的领域,并且假设发现了新的信息和认识,因此,从本质来说,本研究是探索性的,因为未曾有人研究财政支持对电力供需的影响。其次,描述性研究设计用于发展理论,确定与主流实践相关的问题,支持主流实践,并产生知识。由于对财政支持变量和供求变量的假设进行了检验,因此采用了演绎和定量研究方法。每个变量的数值数据均来自真实的网站,即世界银行、亚洲开发银行、巴基斯坦国家运输配送公司和巴基斯坦经济概况。时间序列数据表示的是后续时间点的序列数据,数据采集时间为1981年至2016年,时间跨度为36年。数据分析采用描述性统计、相关分析、层次回归分析和最小二乘回归分析等统计工具.研究结果表明,外商投资、IPPs、人均GDP对于电力的水资源、太阳能、化石燃料、热能项目以及农业、工业、商业和政府部门的用电量具有显著的正向影响。研究还建议,政府应该有一个自由的对外经济政策,吸引外国对巴基斯坦的投资以缩小电力供需差异。其次,IPPs的数量应该增加,因为基础设施、电力和能源、教育、交通等方面的自由政策投资将导致该国人均GDP的增加。
【学位单位】:中国矿业大学
【学位级别】:博士
【学位年份】:2019
【中图分类】:F416.61;F831
【部分图文】:

巴基斯坦,电力部门


country were not optimized, and the country was still using the old transmissionsystem in which a major chunk of the energy is wasted. As a result of theinefficiencies in the transmission lines. And the third reason for this inefficiency in theenergy sector was due to the lack of effective policies by the government and it waswitnessed that corrupt practices prevailed in the ranks of the government officers thatled to the demise of not just the energy sector but other sectors of the country as well(Harijan, Uqaili, & Memon, 2008).In 1998 Pakistan electricity sector was rationalized through the formation of Pakistanelectric power company (PEPCO). It included KESC and WAPDA, whereas WAPDAserved the entire country except for Karachi, while KESC served Karachi and itssurrounding areas. Onward WAPDA was Further Expended and Restructured intoseparate corporate units containing one TRANSCO, 4 GENCO’s, 10 DISCO’s.

巴基斯坦,来源


t sectors in the country but has not been able to perform its ly.current situation, Pakistan is facing massive imbalancement ofs that are because of the lack of production by the industrieson sector. As the energy sector of the country is not able to producedes of electricity, the industrial capacity of the country is greatly af the country is not able to produce sufficient amount of goods for eefore, the entire economy of the country suffers and collapses as a renergy as one of the most important commodities that must be sd; otherwise the future of the country can come at stake (Mirza, A011). power sector depends on a variety of sources, which plays t role in the electricity sector of Pakistan are below

发电量,巴基斯坦


图 1-3 2013-14 年巴基斯坦发电量Fig 1-3 Electricity generation in 2013-14 in Pakistan ((Source:Pakistan Energy Year book)sued by NTDC shows the current installment of new capacity g

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