金融发展、技术进步与产业升级—理论与实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-02 17:06

本文关键词：金融发展、技术进步与产业升级—理论与实证研究　出处：《贵州财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：金融在现代经济中的核心地位早已成为经济学家们的共识，国内外学者们关于金融与经济之间的关系研究比较丰富，也取得了不少的研究成果。也有学者对金融发展对经济发展的深层次机制做了研究，如分别从金融发展推动技术进步及产业升级来探讨金融对经济发展的巨大作用。但对金融发展与技术进步与产业升级之间关系的研究较少，实证分析更乏善可陈。本文试图将金融发展、技术进步与产业升级纳入到一个整体的分析框架，系统的研究金融发展、技术进步与产业升级之间的交互作用，以求进一步丰富金融发展理论。本文综合运用了金融发展理论、技术进步和产业结构理论等多学科理论并采用计量经济方法，深入研究了金融发展、技术进步与产业升级之间的交互关系。本文的研究工作及结论主要集中在以下几个方面: 首先，系统的介绍了金融发展与技术进步和金融发展与产业升级的相关理论，在此基础上通过建立金融发展、技术进步与产业升级的分析框架，从理论上分析三者的交互作用。分析得出：金融发展通过资本形成机制、资本流动机制和产业升级机制促进技术进步与产业升级；而产业倒逼机制和技术扩散机制则促使了金融的进一步发展。其次，使用面板数据模型和DEA方法分别测算了1994-2010年全国29个省的金融发展和技术进步指标，结果发现无论东部还是中西部地区，金融发展水平基本保持平稳，但这一趋势在2008年之后发生了改变，此后逐渐恢复。从三大地域的金融发展水平来看，1994-2008年间，金融发展水平一直呈现出东高西低的趋势，但这种趋势逐步缩小。而2008-2010年间则呈现中部略高于东部的情况。从技术进步来看，1994-2010年间，我国的技术进步增长并不显著，而分地域来看，三大地域的全要素生产率也没有显著差别。再看产业升级水平，整体上看，我国的产业层次在不断的提高，产业结构水平保持平稳增长，从东中西三大地域来看，东部的产业升级水平明显高于中部，而中部的产业升级水平高于西部。第三，运用1994-2010年29个省市的金融发展、技术进步与产业升级的数据，通过面板协整、面板误差修正、面板向量自回归等计量经济模型对其关系进行实证分析。研究发现：金融发展对技术进步和产业升级有积极的单向作用，而技术进步对产业升级也具有积极的单向作用。金融发展、技术进步与产业升级可能存在着这样一种路径，即金融发展直接推动了技术进步，进而促进了产业的升级。第四，基于理论和实证的分析，为了更好的促进全国金融发展和技术进步，优化产业结构，提升产业层次，提出了促进金融发展，支持落后地区的发展、促进区域经济与金融协调发展；注意金融和其他因素的配合，共同推动技术进步和产业升级等政策建议。
[Abstract]:The financial core status in the modern economy has become the consensus of economists, scholars at home and abroad about the relationship between finance and economy is relatively abundant, but also made a lot of achievements. Some scholars do the research on financial development on the economic development of the deep mechanism, such as from the financial development to promote technological progress and to explore the huge industrial upgrading of the role of Finance in economic development. But the research on the relationship between financial development and technological progress and industrial upgrading is less, the analysis more lackluster. This paper attempts to financial development, technological progress and industrial upgrading into a whole framework of financial system research and development, the interaction between technological progress with the industrial upgrading, in order to enrich the theory of financial development.
This paper uses the theory of financial development, technological progress and industrial structure theory and the use of econometric methods, in-depth study of the interactive relationship between financial development, technological progress and industrial upgrading. The research work and conclusions of this paper mainly focuses on the following aspects:
First of all, the system introduces the related theory of financial development and technological progress and financial development and industrial upgrading, based on the analysis framework through the establishment of financial development, technological progress and industrial upgrading, analysis of the interaction of three in theory. Analysis shows that the financial development through the capital formation mechanism, the mechanism of capital flow and industry the upgrade mechanism to promote technological progress and industrial upgrading; industrial forced mechanism and technology diffusion mechanism is the further development of finance.
Secondly, using the panel data model and DEA method to measure 1994-2010 in 29 provinces of the index of financial development and technological progress, the result shows that both the eastern and western regions, the level of financial development remained stable, but the trend after 2008 changed, then gradually recovered. From the level of financial development in three major areas look, 1994-2008, the level of financial development has been showing a low east west trend, but this trend gradually reduced. While between 2008-2010 showed slightly higher than the Central East. From the view of technological progress, 1994-2010 years, China's technological progress growth is not significant, and the sub region, total factor productivity three there are no significant differences between the regions. Look at the level of industrial upgrading, on the whole, China's industrial level is improving constantly, the level of industrial structure to maintain steady growth, from the West and East In the three regions, the level of industrial upgrading in the East is obviously higher than that in the middle, and the level of industrial upgrading in the central part is higher than that in the West.
Third, the use of 1994-2010 in 29 provinces of the financial development, technological progress and industrial upgrading of the data, through panel cointegration, panel error correction, panel vector autoregressive econometric model to do empirical analysis of the relationship between financial development. The study found: one positive effect on technological progress and industrial upgrading, technological progress the industrial upgrading has positive effect. One way of financial development, technological progress and industrial upgrading may exist in such a way, that financial development directly promote technological progress, and promote the upgrading of the industry.
Fourth, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, in order to better promote the national financial development and technological progress, optimize the industrial structure, upgrade the industry level, put forward to promote financial development, support the development of underdeveloped areas, and promote the coordinated development of regional economy and finance; with the attention of financial and other factors, to promote technological progress and industrial upgrading. Policy recommendations.

【学位授予单位】：贵州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F224;F832;F124.3;F121.3

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