通货膨胀对工程造价直接费的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-14 06:01

本文关键词：通货膨胀对工程造价直接费的影响研究　出处：《华侨大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：当今时代，经济发展带给人们高收入的同时，也给人们带来了不可避免的通货膨胀。在通货膨胀时期，建筑材料价格、机械台班价、建筑工人工资等也会有不同程度的上涨。所以建筑施工企业有必要掌握通货膨胀对将产生施工成本的影响以及应对通货膨胀的措施。首先介绍了通货膨胀的定义及其衡量指标，并对建安工程费用和施工成本进行了区分，并简单的介绍了单位根检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验的理论知识。其次，定量的研究通货膨胀对施工成本中的主要建筑材料价格、建筑工人工资和施工机械台班价格的影响。由于建筑材料种类繁多，这里选取了占材料费用比重大的钢筋和水泥作为研究对象。利用Eviews6.0软件研究通货膨胀和厦门市建筑行业工人工资、主要建筑材料价格和施工机械台班价格之间的相关关系并建立回归方程。消费者物价指数（CPI）和螺纹钢综合价格（LWG）存在长期均衡关系式CPI=30.08629+0.677822CPI(-1)+0.00077LWG，，拟合度为84.7%。消费者物价指数（CPI）和圆钢综合价格（YG）之间也存在有长期均衡关系：CPI=88.38346+0.003373YG，且此方程的拟合度高达84.9%。且有消费者物价指数是圆钢和螺纹钢综合价格的格兰杰原因，可用预测的未来CPI的值预测将来圆钢和螺纹钢的综合价格。研究发现消费者物价指数和水泥价格、建筑工人工资价格指数、机械台班价格间不存在长期均衡关系。最后总结了建筑施工企业在通货膨胀时期抵御通货膨胀风险的一些方法措施。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, economic development brings people high income, at the same time, it also brings the inevitable inflation. In the inflation period, the price of construction materials, machine shift price. Construction workers' wages will also rise to varying degrees, so it is necessary for construction companies to grasp the impact of inflation on construction costs and measures to deal with inflation. Firstly, it introduces the definition of inflation and its measurement index, and distinguishes the construction cost from the construction cost, and simply introduces the unit root test. The theory of cointegration test and Granger causality test. Secondly, the quantitative study of inflation on the construction cost of the main construction materials price. The effect of construction workers' wages and the price of construction machinery shift. Due to the wide variety of construction materials. Using Eviews6.0 software to study inflation and workers' wages in the construction industry of Xiamen City, this paper selects the steel bar and cement which account for a large proportion of the cost of materials as the research object. The relationship between the price of main construction materials and the price of construction machinery and establish regression equation. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the consumer price index (CPI=30.08629) and the composite price of rebar (CPI=30.08629 0.677822 CPI-1). 0.00077LWG. The fitting degree is 84.7. There is also a long-term equilibrium relationship between CPI (Consumer Price Index) and YGG (round steel composite price). There is also a long-term equilibrium relationship between: CPI 88.38346 0.003373YG. The fitting degree of this equation is as high as 84.9 and the consumer price index is the Granger reason for the composite price of round steel and rebar. The predicted value of future CPI can be used to predict the combined price of round steel and rebar in the future. The study found consumer price index and cement price index, construction worker wage price index. There is no long-term equilibrium relationship between the price of the machinery shift. Finally, some methods and measures to resist the inflation risk in the period of inflation for construction enterprises are summarized.
【学位授予单位】：华侨大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：TU723.3;F822.5

【参考文献】