人民币现实汇率失调对中国就业的影响

发布时间：2018-02-21 05:16

本文关键词： 现实汇率均衡汇率汇率失调就业规模就业结构　出处：《四川大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2011年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：测算人民币现实汇率对均衡汇率的偏离程度,考察人民币现实汇率失调对中国就业的影响。研究结果表明,自2003年以来人民币现实汇率确实出现了一定程度的低估,1994年至2008年间的汇率失调水平显著影响了中国就业规模的扩大和就业结构的变化。人民币现实汇率低估会扩大我国城镇就业规模、降低第一产业就业比重、提高第二产业就业比重,转移大量农村剩余劳动力到第二产业就业。因此,需深化人民币汇率机制市场化改革,探索建立以均衡汇率为参照系的汇率目标区制度;贯彻扩大内需的战略方针,大力扶植第三产业发展,促进产业结构升级。
[Abstract]:To measure the deviation of the RMB real exchange rate from the equilibrium exchange rate, and to investigate the impact of the RMB real exchange rate imbalance on China's employment. Since 2003, the RMB real exchange rate has indeed been undervalued to some extent, and the level of exchange rate misalignment between 1994 and 2008 has significantly affected the expansion of Chinese employment and the changes in employment structure. The undervaluation of the RMB real exchange rate will. To expand the scale of urban employment in China, Reducing the proportion of employment in the primary industry, increasing the proportion of employment in the secondary sector, and transferring a large number of rural surplus labor to employment in the secondary industry. Therefore, it is necessary to deepen the market-oriented reform of the RMB exchange rate mechanism. This paper explores the establishment of a system of exchange rate target zones based on the balanced exchange rate system, implements the strategic policy of expanding domestic demand, vigorously supports the development of the tertiary industry, and promotes the upgrading of industrial structure.
【作者单位】：山东大学威海投资与理财研究中心;山东大学劳动经济研究所;
【基金】：教育部新世纪优秀人才计划项目(NCET-10-0523) 山东大学威海分校教研基金项目阶段性成果
【分类号】：F832.6;F249.2

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