区域视角下的FDI的溢出效应与产业关联

发布时间：2018-03-13 04:22

本文选题：外商直接投资　切入点：水平溢出效应　出处：《复旦大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：如何解释中国过去三十年的高速经济增长是当前学术界的一个重要话题,许多学者就此问题以整个国家为对象展开了许多研究。然而中国本身是个区域异质性很强的国家,不同省份的资源禀赋优势、经济发展水平、外商投资水平都不尽一致,全国范围的研究往往忽略了区域层面或者省际层面的特殊性；另一方面,中国经济实现高速增长的原因也是多方面的,比如内部的市场化改革、外商直接投资、加入WTO等因素都是解释中国经济增长的时候绕不开的话题。基于以上考虑,本文试图以一个小的切入点展开研究。在研究过程中,本文试图以江苏省和浙江省这两个中国经济增长过程中颇具代表性的省份为分析对象,基于1998-2007年的详实而全面的工业企业微观数据为分析依据,全面回顾和梳理外商直接投资(FDI, Foreign Direct Investment)对江浙两省的企业的全要素生产率(TFP, Total Factor Productivity)的溢出效应和影响机制。本文研究发现,外商直接投资对江苏省、浙江省都产生了积极的后向关联溢出效应,而前向关联的溢出效应并不显著；另一方面,江苏省还受到了FDI的水平溢出效应的积极影响,然而这一点在浙江省却并不显著。进一步,本文试图结合江浙两省的产业结构的变动情况和内外资在各产业链的布局情况对本文发现的事实予以解释。本文认为江浙两省的FDI的行业分布结构以及两省的产业结构的变化、在各产业链的分工都对FDI的水平和垂直的溢出产生了不同程度的影响。随后,本文还用滞后项检验和分区域、分行业回归等方法进一步印证了其逻辑的可靠性,我们认为上述逻辑恰当的解释了近年来的江浙两省在增长速度和增长质量上的差异。同时,上述发现对于我国今后的对外开放政策的调整和产业结构调整等方面都有一定的借鉴意义。
[Abstract]:How to explain the rapid economic growth of China in the past 30 years is an important topic in current academic circles. Many scholars have carried out a lot of research on this issue. However, China itself is a country with strong regional heterogeneity. The advantages of resource endowment, the level of economic development and the level of foreign investment in different provinces are not consistent. The national research often ignores the particularity of regional or provincial level; on the other hand, The reasons for China's rapid economic growth are also various. For example, internal market-oriented reform, foreign direct investment, WTO entry and other factors are all the topics that explain China's economic growth. Based on the above considerations, In the course of the research, this paper attempts to take Jiangsu Province and Zhejiang Province, two representative provinces in the process of economic growth in China, as the objects of analysis. Based on the detailed and comprehensive microcosmic data of industrial enterprises from 1998 to 2007, this paper reviews and combs the spillover effect and influence mechanism of foreign direct investment (FDI) and Foreign Direct investment on the total factor productivity (TFP) and Total Factor productivity (TFP) of enterprises in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces. This paper finds that FDI has a positive backward spillover effect on Jiangsu Province and Zhejiang Province, but the spillover effect of forward correlation is not significant; on the other hand, Jiangsu Province has also been positively affected by the horizontal spillover effects of FDI, but this is not significant in Zhejiang Province. This paper attempts to explain the facts found in this paper by considering the changes of industrial structure of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces and the layout of domestic and foreign capital in each industrial chain. This paper holds that the industry distribution structure of FDI in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces and the changes of industrial structure of the two provinces are different. The division of labor in each industry chain has different effects on the horizontal and vertical spillover of FDI. Then, the reliability of the logic is further verified by the methods of lag term test, sub-region regression and sub-industry regression. We believe that the above logic properly explains the differences in growth rate and quality between Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces in recent years. At the same time, The above findings are helpful to the adjustment of our country's policy of opening to the outside world and the adjustment of industrial structure.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F224;F832.6

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