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人民币升值对江苏省对外贸易收支影响的研究

发布时间:2018-03-31 07:34

  本文选题:人民币升值 切入点:江苏省 出处:《南京农业大学》2013年硕士论文


【摘要】:汇率在我国对外贸易活动中起着价格转换的作用,是一国国际经济活动的重要的综合性价格指标。汇率是国际价格与国内价格联系的媒介,是对外贸易价格体系中的一个重要指标,其变动直接影响到一国的对外贸易发展。 1973年布雷顿森林体系瓦解后,世界各国纷纷放弃固定汇率制度,转而实行浮动汇率制度。相比固定汇率制度,浮动汇率使得各国之间法定货币的汇率具有更大的波动特性,各国的对外贸易增长速度也因此受到了影响,因此,这对国际贸易带来了一定的影响。由此,各国学者开始认识到汇率波动会影响到国际贸易的发展,同时也开始对于这方面的现象进行研究和分析。 江苏省以外向型经济为主导,对外贸易的正常发展对江苏省经济的稳定运行有着至关重要的作用,故本文将借鉴汇率变动的相关理论和方法,以江苏省对外贸易为研究对象,跟踪发展动态,从进出口贸易收支出发,对人民币汇率升值对江苏省对外贸易的影响在理论和实际层面上做一定研究,并根实际情况提出符合江苏省客观情况的建议。 本文首先解析阐述了人民币汇率制度的演变过程,搜集了国内外学者关于汇率对外贸是否有影响的研究结果,然后回顾了前人关于汇率对外贸影响的一些经典理论,分析了人民币升值影响江苏省贸易收支的路径,同时接着在此基础上,回顾了人民币升值后江苏省对外贸易发展情况,之后,在之前的数据及理论基础上分析了人民币升值对江苏省对外贸易收支的影响,最后结合分析情况,对减小人民币升值对江苏省对外贸易收支影响提出相关建议。
[Abstract]:Exchange rate plays the role of price conversion in China's foreign trade activities, and is an important comprehensive price index of a country's international economic activities. Exchange rate is the medium of the connection between international price and domestic price. It is an important index in the foreign trade price system, and its change directly affects the development of a country's foreign trade. After the collapse of Bretton Woods system in 1973, countries all over the world abandoned the fixed exchange rate system and adopted floating exchange rate system one after another. As a result, the growth rate of foreign trade in various countries has also been affected, so this has had a certain impact on international trade. As a result, scholars in various countries have begun to realize that exchange rate fluctuations will affect the development of international trade. At the same time, it also began to study and analyze the phenomenon. Jiangsu Province is dominated by export-oriented economy, and the normal development of foreign trade plays an important role in the stable operation of Jiangsu's economy. Therefore, this paper will draw lessons from the relevant theories and methods of exchange rate change and take Jiangsu's foreign trade as the research object. From the perspective of import and export trade income and expenditure, this paper studies the influence of RMB exchange rate appreciation on Jiangsu's foreign trade on both theoretical and practical levels, and puts forward some suggestions in line with the objective situation of Jiangsu Province. This paper first analyzes the evolution of RMB exchange rate regime, collects the research results of domestic and foreign scholars on whether the exchange rate has an impact on foreign trade, and then reviews some classical theories about the influence of exchange rate on foreign trade. This paper analyzes the ways that RMB appreciation affects Jiangsu's trade income and expenditure, and then reviews the development of Jiangsu's foreign trade after the appreciation of RMB. On the basis of previous data and theory, this paper analyzes the impact of RMB appreciation on Jiangsu's foreign trade income and expenditure, and finally puts forward relevant suggestions to reduce the impact of RMB appreciation on Jiangsu's foreign trade income and expenditure.
【学位授予单位】:南京农业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F832.6;F752.8

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