社会融资规模与GDP增速偏离的经济学阐释——基于江苏省数据

发布时间：2018-06-16 02:02

  本文选题：社会融资规模 + GDP增速　； 参考：《地方财政研究》2014年12期

【摘要】：2013年以来,社会融资规模与GDP增速偏离的现象引发了决策层和学术界的广泛关注。与以往社会融资规模迅速增长后,GDP增速总存在小幅上升不同,此次则表现为社会融资规模增速扩大后,GDP持续保持下降趋势。本文认为此次偏离是在中国经济转型发展的新时期,各种结构性和周期性力量相互作用基础上,周期性因素、结构性因素、存量周转因素、漏损因素以及统计技术因素等五个方面共同作用的结果,应该从加强宏观审慎监管、推进金融市场化改革、发展普惠金融以及完善相关统计制度等多方面采取有针对性措施,以进一步提升宏观调控效果和经济发展质量。
[Abstract]:Since 2013, the deviation between the scale of social financing and GDP growth has aroused widespread concern among policy makers and academics. The GDP growth rate is different from that in the past after the rapid growth of social financing scale, but this time it shows that the GDP continues to decline after the expansion of social financing scale growth. This paper holds that this deviation is based on the interaction of various structural and cyclical forces in the new period of China's economic transformation and development, cyclical factors, structural factors, stock turnover factors. As a result of the combined action of leakage factors and statistical technical factors, we should take targeted measures from many aspects, such as strengthening macro-prudential supervision, promoting financial marketization reform, developing inclusive finance and perfecting related statistical systems, etc. In order to further improve the macroeconomic control effect and the quality of economic development.
【作者单位】： 中国人民银行南京分行;
【分类号】：F832.5;F127
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本文编号：2024706