外商在华直接投资对中美贸易不平衡影响的研究
发布时间：2018-08-08 14:39
【摘要】：改革开放以来,中美双边贸易迅速发展,尤其是中国加入WTO后,中美双边贸易规模越来越大,贸易范围越来越广,与此同时中国对美贸易顺差也越来越大。虽然2008年爆发的全球性金融危机使中美进出口贸易额有所减少,中美贸易差额相对缩小,但中美贸易仍呈上升趋势,中美贸易差额也越来越大。在中美贸易迅速发展的同时,外商在华直接投资规模越来越大,投资范围越来越广泛。根据国际直接投资和国际贸易关系的理论,国际直接投资和贸易之间存在着互补或替代的关系,那么外商在华直接投资和中美贸易之间也必然会存在一定的关系。因此,分析外商在华直接投资是如何影响中美贸易不平衡,对于缓解中美贸易不平衡,促进中美贸易健康发展,有着十分重要的现实意义。 本研究首先回顾了国际直接投资和国际贸易关系的相关理论和研究成果,并在此基础上分析资本能自由流动时,贸易国双方的贸易模式,为本文的研究奠定理论基础。之后运用实证分析方法,检验外商在华直接投资和中美贸易之间的相关性,并用格兰杰因果关系检验二者之间的因果关系。 之后,在实证检验的基础上,分别从外商在华投资的规模、行业结构及投资来源地的角度详细分析外商在华直接投资是如何影响中美贸易不平衡的。最后,提出缓解中美贸易不平衡的相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, bilateral trade between China and the United States has developed rapidly, especially after China's entry into WTO, the scale of bilateral trade between China and the United States has become larger and wider, and the trade surplus between China and the United States has also become larger and larger. Although the global financial crisis broke out in 2008, Sino-US trade volume and trade balance between China and the United States have been reduced, but Sino-US trade still shows an upward trend, and the Sino-US trade balance is also increasing. With the rapid development of Sino-American trade, foreign direct investment in China is becoming larger and wider. According to the theory of international direct investment and international trade relations, there is a complementary or substitute relationship between international direct investment and trade, so there is bound to be a certain relationship between foreign direct investment in China and Sino-US trade. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to analyze how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States, which can alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States and promote the healthy development of Sino-US trade. This study first reviews the relevant theories and research results of international direct investment and international trade relations, and on this basis analyzes the trade patterns of trading countries when capital can flow freely, thus laying a theoretical foundation for this study. Then we use the empirical analysis method to test the correlation between foreign direct investment and Sino-US trade, and use Granger causality to test the causality between them. Then, on the basis of empirical test, this paper analyzes in detail how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States from the perspective of the scale of foreign investment in China, the industry structure and the source of investment. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.7
本文编号：2172102
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, bilateral trade between China and the United States has developed rapidly, especially after China's entry into WTO, the scale of bilateral trade between China and the United States has become larger and wider, and the trade surplus between China and the United States has also become larger and larger. Although the global financial crisis broke out in 2008, Sino-US trade volume and trade balance between China and the United States have been reduced, but Sino-US trade still shows an upward trend, and the Sino-US trade balance is also increasing. With the rapid development of Sino-American trade, foreign direct investment in China is becoming larger and wider. According to the theory of international direct investment and international trade relations, there is a complementary or substitute relationship between international direct investment and trade, so there is bound to be a certain relationship between foreign direct investment in China and Sino-US trade. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to analyze how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States, which can alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States and promote the healthy development of Sino-US trade. This study first reviews the relevant theories and research results of international direct investment and international trade relations, and on this basis analyzes the trade patterns of trading countries when capital can flow freely, thus laying a theoretical foundation for this study. Then we use the empirical analysis method to test the correlation between foreign direct investment and Sino-US trade, and use Granger causality to test the causality between them. Then, on the basis of empirical test, this paper analyzes in detail how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States from the perspective of the scale of foreign investment in China, the industry structure and the source of investment. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.7
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