中美汇率政策博弈的国际政治经济学分析

发布时间：2018-10-22 16:47

【摘要】：进入21世纪以来,中国的人民币汇率问题不断成为国际社会,尤其是美国向中国施压的重要工具,在涉及国际贸易平衡发展、人民币汇率水平以及人民币汇率机制等复杂经济问题的同时,其背后也隐含着浓重的政治与国际关系因素。本文综合运用应急管理、国际政治经济学等有关理论与方法,通过分析三次中美人民币汇率之争,发现每逢美国中期选举年,人民币汇率必定成为美国两党政治的核心议题,但金融危机下的人民币汇率之争与博弈又有其独特的经济和政治因素,使人民币汇率问题更趋复杂化。如何有效进行人民币汇率政策冲突应急管理,需要两国政府的政治智慧。
[Abstract]:Since entering the 21st century, the issue of China's RMB exchange rate has continuously become an important tool for the international community, especially the United States, to exert pressure on China, which involves the balanced development of international trade. While the RMB exchange rate level and the RMB exchange rate mechanism and other complex economic issues, it also implies a strong political and international relations factors. This paper synthetically applies emergency management, international political economics and other relevant theories and methods, through analyzing the three disputes between China and the United States on the RMB exchange rate, it is found that the RMB exchange rate will become the core issue of the bipartisan politics of the United States every time the mid-term election year of the United States occurs. However, the debate and game of RMB exchange rate under the financial crisis has its own unique economic and political factors, which makes the RMB exchange rate more complicated. How to effectively manage the RMB exchange rate policy conflict requires the political wisdom of the two governments.
【作者单位】：暨南大学MPA教育中心;暨南大学应急管理研究中心;
【基金】：国务院侨办项目“涉外侨务突发事件监测预警指标体系研究”(项目编号:GQBQ2011020) 广州市哲学社会科学规划2010年度课题“经济全球化条件下的金融稳定监测与评估”(项目编号:10Y70) 暨南大学211工程基金重点项目“应急管理理论与实务——应急运作管理研究”(项目编号:09JDXM63006) 广东省科技计划项目(项目编号:2010A030200009、2010B070300052)的阶段研究成果
【分类号】：F832.63

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