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后金融危机时代人民币汇率制度研究

发布时间:2018-11-28 15:31
【摘要】:2008年国际金融危机过后,国际经济政治的秩序发生了较大变化,不稳定因素增多。在这样的环境下,中国作为一个迅速崛起中的经济大国受到国际社会越来越多的关注,而作为对外经济联系重要杠杆的人民币汇率和人民币汇率制度也受到了极大关注。在国际社会上,以美国为代表的发达国家频频指责人民币汇率和汇率制度,对人民币升值施加压力。除了外部施加的压力外,当前人民币汇率制度还面临着外汇储备规模大,国际货币体系的变化,国际游资的影响,人民币汇率弹性不足等问题。总体来说,金融危机带来的国际国内的环境变化,人民币汇率及人民币汇率制度都受到了较大的影响。为了维护国家利益,为中国经济健康稳定发展,人民币汇率及其汇率制度影响应得到充分的研究和探讨,以寻找更适合中国现阶段国情的汇率制度。本文在已有研究成果的基础上,结合现时代国内外环境的特点,对人民币汇率制度进行了研究,以期为人民币汇率制度的改革提供依据。 本文第一章为绪论部分,主要介绍选题的背景和意义、国内外文献综述以及研究的思路及方法。第二章主要阐述了汇率及汇率制度的基本概念、汇率制度选择的经典理论,简要介绍了汇率制度的分类。第三章,汇率制度的现实选择,主要阐述了汇率制度选择特征,随后研究了当前全球汇率制度选择的整体情况及趋势,然后对我国人民币汇率制度进行了详细回顾,以期了解人民币汇率制度的来龙去脉,,把握人民币汇率制度改革大体方向。第四章主要分析了在后金融危机时代下,人民币汇率制度所面临的一些急需解决的问题,以期为后面改革做好准备。第五章为人民币汇率制度改革的建议,是本文的重要部分。在分析了当前的环境和人民币汇率制度存在的问题基础上,为了适应时代要求和维护本国利益,人民币汇率制度应作出调整:包括优化外汇储备结构,构建防游资冲击的防火墙,进一步提高汇率弹性的等等。第六章,主要探讨了人民币国际化这一热点问题,主要分析了人民币国际化的利与弊,以及当前人民币国际化的挑战,然后结合主要国际货币化的经验,为人民币国际化给出自己的建议。整体上,本文主要对人民币汇率制度的改革及人民币国际化进行了研究,对关系国家利益和人民币汇率制度及人民币国际化的未来发展,以已有的理论为基础进行了探讨,并提出了相应的改革措施。
[Abstract]:After the international financial crisis in 2008, the order of international economy and politics has changed greatly, and the unstable factors have increased. In such an environment, China, as a rapidly rising economic power, has received more and more attention from the international community, and the RMB exchange rate and RMB exchange rate system, which is an important lever of foreign economic ties, has also received great attention. In the international community, the developed countries, represented by the United States, frequently criticized the RMB exchange rate and exchange rate regime, putting pressure on the appreciation of the RMB. In addition to the external pressure, the current RMB exchange rate regime is also faced with the large scale of foreign exchange reserves, the changes in the international monetary system, the impact of international hot capital, the lack of flexibility of RMB exchange rate, and so on. In general, the changes of international and domestic environment brought by the financial crisis, RMB exchange rate and RMB exchange rate system have been greatly affected. In order to safeguard the national interests and the healthy and stable development of China's economy, the RMB exchange rate and its influence on the exchange rate regime should be fully studied and discussed in order to find a more suitable exchange rate system for the current situation of China. Based on the existing research results and the characteristics of the current domestic and international environment, this paper studies the RMB exchange rate regime in order to provide the basis for the reform of the RMB exchange rate regime. The first chapter is the introduction, mainly introduces the background and significance of the topic, literature review at home and abroad, as well as research ideas and methods. The second chapter mainly expounds the basic concepts of exchange rate and exchange rate regime, the classical theory of exchange rate regime selection, and briefly introduces the classification of exchange rate system. The third chapter, the realistic choice of the exchange rate regime, mainly expounds the characteristics of the choice of the exchange rate regime, then studies the overall situation and trend of the current global exchange rate regime, and then makes a detailed review of the RMB exchange rate regime in China. In order to understand the origin of RMB exchange rate system, grasp the general direction of RMB exchange rate system reform. The fourth chapter mainly analyzes some problems that the RMB exchange rate system faces in the post-financial crisis, in order to prepare for the later reform. The fifth chapter is the suggestion of RMB exchange rate system reform, which is an important part of this paper. Based on the analysis of the current environment and the problems existing in the RMB exchange rate system, in order to meet the requirements of the times and safeguard the national interests, the RMB exchange rate regime should be adjusted: including optimizing the structure of foreign exchange reserves. Build anti-floating capital impact firewall, further improve exchange rate flexibility and so on. The sixth chapter mainly discusses the hot issue of RMB internationalization, mainly analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of RMB internationalization, as well as the current challenges of RMB internationalization, and then combines the experience of major international monetization. Give your own suggestions for RMB internationalization. On the whole, this paper mainly studies the reform of RMB exchange rate system and RMB internationalization, and discusses the future development of RMB exchange rate system and RMB internationalization, based on the existing theories. And put forward the corresponding reform measures.
【学位授予单位】:首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F832.6

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