中国国际收支双顺差的根源和趋势
发布时间：2018-12-15 11:03
【摘要】：从1994年至2011年，中国的经常账户和资本账户同时处于盈余的状态，简称为双顺差。本文首先回顾了双顺差的历史演变和结构特征，认为双顺差的特殊之处在于货物贸易出现了超前发展。其次，通过对货物贸易盈余和外国直接投资的特征的分析，指出双顺差的直接原因在于在国际范围产业结构调整的背景下中国对产品内分工的参与。然后，论述了双顺差所反映出的经济结构问题，，分别为储蓄大于投资、劳动者工资上涨受抑制以及金融市场发展滞后。在最后，对中国的国际收支进行预测并提出相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:From 1994 to 2011, China's current account and capital account were in surplus at the same time, or double surplus. This paper first reviews the historical evolution and structural characteristics of the double surplus, and points out that the special feature of the double surplus lies in the advanced development of the trade in goods. Secondly, by analyzing the characteristics of goods trade surplus and foreign direct investment, the author points out that the direct cause of double surplus lies in China's participation in intra-product division of labor under the background of the adjustment of industrial structure in international scope. Then, the paper discusses the economic structure problems reflected by double surplus, such as saving more than investment, labor wage rising restrained and financial market lagging behind. In the end, the author forecasts China's balance of payments and puts forward relevant policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752;F832
本文编号：2380530
[Abstract]:From 1994 to 2011, China's current account and capital account were in surplus at the same time, or double surplus. This paper first reviews the historical evolution and structural characteristics of the double surplus, and points out that the special feature of the double surplus lies in the advanced development of the trade in goods. Secondly, by analyzing the characteristics of goods trade surplus and foreign direct investment, the author points out that the direct cause of double surplus lies in China's participation in intra-product division of labor under the background of the adjustment of industrial structure in international scope. Then, the paper discusses the economic structure problems reflected by double surplus, such as saving more than investment, labor wage rising restrained and financial market lagging behind. In the end, the author forecasts China's balance of payments and puts forward relevant policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752;F832
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本文编号：2380530
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