基于AHP-FCE法的重大项目社会稳定风险评估

发布时间：2018-04-25 23:21

本文选题：重大项目 + 风险评估　；参考：《社会科学家》2017年02期

【摘要】：社会稳定风险评估已引起政府与学术界的关注与讨论,对维护社会稳定具有重要意义。文章在层次分析法、模糊综合评价法与案例分析法的基础上,运用yaahp10.3软件实现将AHP-FCE法结合,从合法性、合理性、可行性、可控性四方面因素出发,构建社会稳定风险评估指标体系与评估模型;并结合X项目验证了所建立的评估模型的有效性和合理性。研究结论为所构建的评估指标体系对项目稳评具有一定的可行性,该方法简化了传统计算复杂问题,可为不同类型的项目社会稳定风险评估提供理论依据与参考。
[Abstract]:The risk assessment of social stability has attracted the attention and discussion of the government and academic circles, which is of great significance to the maintenance of social stability. On the basis of analytic hierarchy process, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and case analysis, this paper uses yaahp10.3 software to realize the combination of AHP-FCE method, starting from four aspects: legitimacy, rationality, feasibility and controllability. The evaluation index system and evaluation model of social stability risk are constructed, and the validity and rationality of the established evaluation model are verified with X project. The conclusion of the study is that the established evaluation index system is feasible for project stability evaluation. This method simplifies the traditional calculation of complex problems and can provide theoretical basis and reference for different types of social stability risk assessment of projects.
【作者单位】：西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院;西藏民族大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“建立社会稳定风险评估机制研究”(11&ZD034) 西藏自治区高校青年教师创新支持项目“风险治理视角下西藏矿山纠纷预防机制研究”(QC2015-53) 西藏民族大学校内项目(13myY05)
【分类号】：C936

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