面向订单及时率改进的预测性生产模式研究

发布时间：2018-01-23 12:37

本文关键词： 供应链管理订单及时率预测性生产服务水平手机零部件行业　出处：《工业工程与管理》2013年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：手机零部件供应链中的各种不确定因素使得中间商经常交货延迟,以订单及时率为表征的客户服务水平较低,所以,如何提高订单及时率改善客户满意度进而增加客户的未来订单量是本文要解决的核心问题。在对手机零部件供应链的不确定性进行分析的基础上,提出了与当前面向订单采购模式有本质差异的面向订单及时率改进的预测性生产模式,给出了该模式下的成本度量模型和服务水平度量函数,并利用某手机零部件中间商的实际销售数据对该模式进行了验证。计算结果表明该预测性生产模式可以使订单交货准时率提升约70%,而此时销售总成本仅提高了3%左右,但同时也对手机零部件中间商的需求管理能力提出了更高的要求。
[Abstract]:Various uncertainties in the mobile phone parts supply chain make the middlemen often delay delivery, and the customer service level characterized by the order timeliness rate is low, so. How to improve the order timely rate to improve customer satisfaction and then increase the amount of future orders is the core problem to be solved in this paper. On the basis of the analysis of the uncertainty of mobile phone parts supply chain. This paper presents a predictive production model for the improvement of order timeliness, which is fundamentally different from the current order-oriented procurement model, and gives the cost measurement model and the service level measurement function under this model. The model is verified by the actual sales data of a mobile phone component middleman. The calculation results show that the predictive production model can increase the order delivery rate by about 70%. At this time, the total cost of sales has only increased by about 3%, but at the same time, the demand management ability of mobile phone components middlemen has been put forward higher requirements.
【作者单位】：上海大学悉尼工商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71302053) 上海大学教育教学改革研究项目(B.58-A107-11-524)
【分类号】：F273;F426.6
【正文快照】： 1引言手机生产商和汽车生产商类似,自身也只充当“组机”和成品销售的角色,他们经常根据生产需求将零部件采购订单外包给手机零部件中间商,之后手机零部件中间商再向各家手机零件生产商采购,然后通过物流公司把手机零部件从全国各地乃至国外运到手机公司的库房。其间手机零部

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