基于Stackelberg博弈的天然气定价机制研究

发布时间：2018-04-03 08:09

本文选题：天然气定价机制　切入点：Stackelberg博弈　出处：《中国石油大学学报(自然科学版)》2013年06期

【摘要】：为探求中国天然气行业未来市场竞争条件下由市场定价的可行策略,从中国天然气定价机制的现状出发,借鉴国外较成熟天然气市场定价经验,剖析未来市场条件下中国天然气定价机制的不同可行策略,并对不同策略的优劣进行对比分析。以博弈论的基本原理和方法为工具,构建天然气定价机制的理论模型,模型涵盖未来天然气行业上中下游定价机制的改革思路,并深入探讨天然气定价的内在机制。提出的天然气定价的定量模型一定程度上克服了原有天然气定价研究以定性分析为主、缺乏模型支持的片面性。结果表明,实行第三方准入制后,天然气生产商的定价和边际毛利均下降,而天然气配气商的定价下降,边际毛利升高。说明实行第三方准入制有利于引入竞争,同时使下游市场议价能力提高,用户利益得以保障。
[Abstract]:In order to explore the feasible strategy of market pricing in the future market competition of China's natural gas industry, starting from the present situation of China's natural gas pricing mechanism, the pricing experience of more mature natural gas markets abroad is used for reference.This paper analyzes the different feasible strategies of China's natural gas pricing mechanism under the future market conditions, and compares the advantages and disadvantages of the different strategies.With the basic principles and methods of game theory as a tool, the theoretical model of natural gas pricing mechanism is constructed. The model covers the reform ideas of the upstream and downstream pricing mechanism of the natural gas industry in the future, and probes into the inherent mechanism of natural gas pricing in depth.The proposed quantitative model of natural gas pricing overcomes the one-sidedness of the original natural gas pricing research which is based on qualitative analysis and lacks the support of the model to some extent.The results show that the pricing and marginal gross profit of natural gas producers decrease, while the pricing of gas distribution quotient decreases, and the marginal gross profit increases.It is shown that the third party admission system is beneficial to the introduction of competition, at the same time, the bargaining power of downstream market is improved, and the interests of users are protected.
【作者单位】：天津大学管理与经济学部;中石油昆仑燃气有限公司;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71250002)
【分类号】：F224.32;F426.22

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