闭环供应链回收价格和服务的博弈分析及应用

发布时间：2019-06-20 19:10

【摘要】：随着经济和科技的不断发展,人们期望获得更高水平的生活质量,因而产生了越来越多的具有很高再利用价值的废旧产品。废旧产品的回收不仅可以有效地对资源进行重复利用,为企业创造更多的附加值,还能更好地保护环境,利于资源和环境的可持续发展。文章在循环经济的大背景下,建立了由一个制造商和两个零售商组成的闭环供应链模型,分析了回收价格和回收服务双决策变量的动态博弈分析。文章分析了动态博弈模型均衡解的局部稳定性,并且使用Matlab等数学工具对动态系统的演化特征进行了模拟分析,分析了闭环供应链回收价格和服务的博弈分析的复杂性和混沌特性。详细介绍了混沌状态的危害后,文章给出了混沌控制方法,并且给出了混沌控制的经济学解释。本文的主要内容和创新点如下:1.文章构建了一个既有竞争关系又同时存在合作关系的由一个制造商与两个零售商组成的闭环供应链系统,分析了制造商主导的闭环供应链回收系统的定价博弈。文章求出了博弈三方的均衡回收价格,探讨了均衡解的局部稳定性。对于不同回收厂商差异化的市场规模,文章分析了不同水平的市场规模对各方利润的影响。2.基于回收厂商往往会加入如“咨询”、“上门取货”等服务的情况,在考察回收价格博弈的基础上,文章还考虑零售商加入回收服务,从而组成了一个价格与服务的混合博弈模型。在求出均衡回收价格和服务水平后,文章分析了均衡解的局部稳定性。对于加入回收服务能否获利的问题,文章给出了详细的分析和论证,得出了加入回收服务能够获得更多回收利润。3.文章将复杂系统理论应用于对闭环供应链的动态博弈的研究之中。三个厂商不断对决策变量进行调整的过程可以看做一个动力系统,文章详细阐述了参数造成的系统混沌状态,以及混沌状态造成的如“决策变量分岔”、“利润分岔”、“利润时间序列波动”、“初值敏感性”等不良影响。对此,文章通过延迟反馈控制法对混沌状态进行控制,这对废旧产品回收市场的高校稳定发展具有了理论和现实意义。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of economy and science and technology, people expect to obtain a higher standard of quality of life, so more and more waste products with high reuse value have been produced. The recovery of waste products can not only effectively reuse resources, create more added value for enterprises, but also better protect the environment, which is conducive to the sustainable development of resources and environment. Under the background of circular economy, this paper establishes a closed-loop supply chain model composed of one manufacturer and two retailers, and analyzes the dynamic game analysis of double decision variables of recovery price and recovery service. In this paper, the local stability of the equilibrium solution of the dynamic game model is analyzed, and the evolution characteristics of the dynamic system are simulated and analyzed by using Matlab and other mathematical tools, and the complexity and chaotic characteristics of the game analysis of the recovery price and service in the closed-loop supply chain are analyzed. After introducing the harm of chaotic state in detail, the method of chaos control is given in this paper, and the economic explanation of chaos control is given. The main contents and innovations of this paper are as follows: 1. In this paper, a closed-loop supply chain system composed of one manufacturer and two retailers is constructed, and the pricing game of the closed-loop supply chain recovery system led by the manufacturer is analyzed. In this paper, the equilibrium recovery price of the three parties of the game is obtained, and the local stability of the equilibrium solution is discussed. For the differentiated market size of different recycling manufacturers, this paper analyzes the influence of different levels of market size on the profits of all parties. 2. Based on the fact that recycling manufacturers often join services such as "consultation" and "door-to-door pick-up", on the basis of investigating the game of recovery price, this paper also considers retailers joining recycling service, thus forming a mixed game model of price and service. After calculating the equilibrium recovery price and service level, the local stability of the equilibrium solution is analyzed in this paper. For the problem of whether the recovery service can be profitable, this paper gives a detailed analysis and demonstration, and concludes that more recovery profits can be obtained by adding the recovery service. In this paper, the complex system theory is applied to the study of dynamic game of closed-loop supply chain. The process of continuously adjusting decision variables by three manufacturers can be regarded as a dynamic system. This paper expounds in detail the chaotic state of the system caused by parameters, as well as the adverse effects caused by chaotic state, such as "decision variable bifurcation", "profit time series fluctuation", "initial value sensitivity" and so on. In this paper, the chaotic state is controlled by delayed feedback control method, which is of theoretical and practical significance to the stable development of colleges and universities in the recycling market of waste products.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F274

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