中国金融发展对贸易结构优化的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-07 00:35

本文选题：金融发展　切入点：贸易结构优化　出处：《宁波大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：全球化背景下，中国已俨然成为了贸易大国，然而，贸易规模的迅速扩张并未能够为中国带来巨大的经济收益，这主要是由于中国贸易结构仍然存在各种问题，很大程度上制约了中国对外贸易整体水平的提升。因此，在中国经济转型的关键时期，优化贸易结构显得十分重要。发达国家经验显示，贸易结构的高度优化总是伴随着金融业的快速发展。那么，贸易结构优化与金融发展两者之间是否存在必然的联系？如果存在，这种影响作用程度如何？已有研究证实，金融发展确实能够促进贸易发展。但是，这些研究大都是从发达国家或地区金融发展对贸易规模的影响出发。而中国作为发展中国家，贸易结构问题突出，金融发展水平也与发达国家或地区有较大差异，已有研究结果是否适用中国还需验证。本文基于以上考虑，将从理论与实证两个方面对于中国金融发展对贸易结构优化的影响给予研究分析，文章主要分为三部分：理论方面，从内外两个角度对金融发展影响贸易结构优化的机理给予分析。主要结论为：金融发展对技术差异、资本禀赋及规模经济产生影响，从内部正向促进贸易结构优化；同时，金融发展依靠自身分散风险、影响汇率以及金融政策作用外向影响贸易结构的优化。实证方面，本文分别从国家层面以及区域层面对中国金融发展以及贸易结构现状给予描述，之后利用中国1980年-2010年的时间序列数据以及中国30个省市的省际面板数据，分别给予实证分析。基于国家层面的分析结果显示，金融发展与贸易结构优化存在长期均衡关系，其中金融结构以及金融效率影响程度较大。区域层面结果则显示东部地区该正向作用明显，，而中西部地区该作用并不显著且存在滞后。政策建议方面，结合中国目前金融发展规划以及贸易结构优化宏观方向，本文认为应该加大国家对于金融业支撑贸易结构优化的支持力度，同时注重金融效率以及金融结构水平的提升，同时要把握好东、中、西部金融发展的进程，利用好各自优势，让金融发展在贸易结构优化进程中发挥支撑作用。
[Abstract]:Under the background of globalization, China has become a big trading country. However, the rapid expansion of the scale of trade has not been able to bring huge economic benefits to China, mainly because there are still various problems in China's trade structure. To a large extent, the overall level of China's foreign trade has been restricted. Therefore, in the critical period of China's economic transformation, it is very important to optimize the trade structure. The highly optimized trade structure is always accompanied by the rapid development of the financial industry. So, is there an inevitable relationship between the optimization of the trade structure and the financial development? If so, to what extent? Studies have confirmed that financial development can indeed promote trade development. However, most of these studies are based on the impact of financial development in developed countries or regions on the scale of trade. China, as a developing country, has a serious trade structure problem. The level of financial development is also quite different from that of developed countries or regions, and it is necessary to verify whether the existing research results are applicable to China. This paper studies and analyzes the impact of China's financial development on the optimization of trade structure from both theoretical and empirical aspects. The article is divided into three parts:. Theoretically, the mechanism of financial development affecting trade structure optimization is analyzed from both internal and external perspectives. The main conclusions are as follows: financial development has an impact on technological differences, capital endowment and economies of scale. At the same time, the development of finance depends on dispersing the risk, influencing the exchange rate and the function of financial policy to influence the optimization of the trade structure. Empirically, this paper describes the current situation of China's financial development and trade structure at the national and regional levels, and then uses the time series data from 1980 to 2010 and the provincial panel data from 30 provinces and cities in China. Based on the results of the analysis at the national level, it is shown that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between financial development and trade structure optimization. The regional results show that the positive effect of the financial structure and financial efficiency is obvious in the eastern region, but the effect in the central and western regions is not significant and lagged behind. In terms of policy recommendations, combined with China's current financial development plan and the macro direction of trade structure optimization, this paper argues that the state should increase its support for the optimization of the financial sector's support trade structure. At the same time, we should pay attention to the improvement of financial efficiency and the level of financial structure. At the same time, we should grasp the process of financial development in the east, middle and west, make good use of their respective advantages, and let the financial development play a supporting role in the process of optimizing the trade structure.
【学位授予单位】：宁波大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832;F752;F224

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