重庆外商直接投资的外贸效应研究
本文选题:外商直接投资 + 贸易效应 ; 参考:《西南大学》2012年硕士论文
【摘要】:改革开放以来,我国一直致力于对外开放,以期改变经济落后的局面,我国的经济状况也确实发生了翻大覆地的变化。几十年来,我国不断加大引进外资的力度,利用外商直接投资的规模和数量不断增加,外商直接投资对我国经济的影响也越来越明显。重庆市地处内陆,在发展对外开放的过程中相较于东部和中部地区都处于不利位置,然而重庆依然坚定不移地走着改革开放的道路。自重庆直辖以来,对外贸易的发展有了第一次提速,而我国加入WTO,以及国家实行西部大开发的发展战略又给了重庆市经济和贸易发展一次契机,在这样的大背景下,重庆更是大力地发展对外贸易和引进外商直接投资,外商直接投资逐渐成为重庆市经济发展的重要源泉之一,对重庆市的经济产生深刻的影响。随着我国加入世界贸易组织及世界经济一体化步伐加快,外商直接投资已经成为我国经济建设的重要内容和基本组成部分,对重庆,也同样如此。然而,客观来讲,重庆在引进和利用外商直接投资的过程中仍然存在一些问题,使得其贸易效应并没有得到很好的体现,所以,研究外商直接投资与重庆经济增长和对外贸易的关系有着重要的实际意义。 本文首先对国内外的相关文献进行梳理,包括蒙代尔的外商直接投资与对外贸易的替代理论,小岛清为代表的互补理论等,进而研究了外商直接投资的四种不同的贸易效应和外商直接投资对被投资国的直接影响和间接影响,并了解各种具体的影响途径。 其次,通过分别查阅相关年份和地区的统计年鉴、统计公报以及其他网站,了解重庆市外商直接投资的现状和特点包括总量、规模、方式、来源国或地区等等,分层次对其进行一个纵向的比较,分析其在重庆直辖以来的发展情况和趋势,以及重庆市外商直接投资对贸易的影响,并分析了目前重庆外商直接投资存在的问题及原因分析,以期使大家对重庆市利用外商直接投资的整体情况有一个具体的了解。 再次,在实证分析的过程中,本文采用了回归分析与相关性分析验证重庆外商直接投资对进出口贸易总额、真实进出口贸易额及进出口结构的影响。同时通过相关性分析验证了影响外商直接投资的贸易效应因素。得出以下结论:第一、重庆外商直接投资额对重庆进出口总量起着重要的促进作用;第二、重庆外商直接投资主要改善了重庆的出口贸易结构,对进口贸易结构无显著影响;第三、影响重庆外商直接投资的贸易效应的主要因素有投资方式、投资来源国或地区以及投资行业。 最后,本文在前面的理论分析和实证检验的基础上,对当前重庆市利用外商直接投资存在的一些问题进行了具体分析,并针对重庆市的具体情况提出了相应的对策和建议,并展望重庆未来在引进和利用外商直接投资方面的前景。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, our country has been committed to opening up to the outside world in order to change the situation of economic backwardness, and the economic situation of our country has changed greatly. In the past few decades, our country has increased the intensity of introducing foreign capital, increasing the scale and quantity of foreign direct investment and the influence of foreign direct investment on China's economy. It is also becoming more and more obvious that Chongqing is located in the inland and is in a disadvantageous position in the process of opening up to the outside world. However, Chongqing is still unswervingly taking the road of reform and opening up. Since Chongqing has been under the central government, the development of foreign trade has been the first speed, China has joined the WTO, and the country has carried out the West. The development strategy has also given the economic and trade development of Chongqing an opportunity. Under such a background, Chongqing is developing foreign trade and introducing foreign direct investment. Foreign direct investment has gradually become one of the important sources of the economic development of Chongqing, and has a profound influence on the economy of Chongqing. The pace of World Trade Organization and world economic integration has been accelerated. Foreign direct investment has become an important part and a basic component of China's economic construction. It is also the same for Chongqing. However, objectively speaking, there are still some problems in the process of introducing and utilizing foreign direct investment in Chongqing, which makes its trade effect not possible. To the very good embodiment, therefore, studies the foreign direct investment and the Chongqing economic growth and the foreign trade relations has the important practical significance.
This paper first reviews the relevant literature at home and abroad, including Mundell's theory of foreign direct investment and foreign trade, and the complementary theory of small island, and then studies the direct and indirect effects of foreign direct investment on four different trade effects and foreign direct investment to the invested countries. Specific ways of influencing.
Secondly, through the statistical yearbook of relevant years and regions, statistical bulletin and other websites, the current situation and characteristics of foreign direct investment in Chongqing are understood, including the total amount, scale, mode, source country or region, and so on. And the impact of foreign direct investment in Chongqing on trade, and analysis of the existing problems and causes of foreign direct investment in Chongqing, in order to make people have a specific understanding of the overall situation of the use of foreign direct investment in Chongqing.
Thirdly, in the process of empirical analysis, this paper uses regression analysis and correlation analysis to verify the effect of foreign direct investment in Chongqing on the total import and export trade volume, the actual import and export trade volume and the import and export structure. The amount of foreign direct investment in Chongqing plays an important role in promoting the total import and export of Chongqing. Second, the foreign direct investment in Chongqing mainly improves the export trade structure of Chongqing and has no significant influence on the structure of the import trade. Third, the main factors affecting the trade effect of Chongqing's foreign direct investment are the investment mode, the country or the land of the investment. District and investment industry.
Finally, on the basis of the previous theoretical analysis and empirical test, this paper makes a specific analysis of the existing problems in the use of foreign direct investment in Chongqing, and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions for the specific situation of Chongqing, and looks forward to the future prospects of the introduction and utilization of foreign direct investment in Chongqing.
【学位授予单位】:西南大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2012
【分类号】:F832.6;F752.8
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