美元霸权体系下的中美汇率之争研究

发布时间：2018-10-05 15:28

【摘要】：本文紧密结合国际货币体系中美元霸权的客观事实和中国人民币在美元霸权体系下的困境，以美元霸权的发展及中美汇率博弈历史进程轨迹为线索，较为详细地分析了中美汇率之争。美元的霸权地位即使在2008年全球性的金融危机爆发也并未发生根本性的改变。在此大环境下，中国人民币汇率制度面临着面镜。随着美国不断对人民币施压，中国也积极应对。本文从美国和中国两个角度分析了中美汇率博弈，最后对中国人民币汇率制度的对策做了一定的总结。全文分为导论、正文和结论三部分，其中正文结构共分四章。本文各部分主题与主要思路如下：第一章导论部分的主要内容有选题背景、目的和意义以及现阶段国内外的研究现状、研究方法和框架结构、新见解和不足之处。第二章分析了当前中美汇率之争的国际环境，即以美元霸权为核心的国际货币体系。从布雷顿森林体系的建立和美元霸权体系的初步形成、美元霸权体系的发展和演变以及金融危机后美元霸权体系的维持对美元霸权进行了详细的阐述。第三章分析了美元霸权体系下现行人民币汇率制度面临的困境，如高储蓄两难、人民币浮动恐惧、弹性汇率制度下价格稳定与汇率稳定的困境。人民币汇率制度之所以有如此的困境，其根源是现行的国际货币制度。第四章和第五章主要论述了中美汇率博弈。第四章对美国施压人民币的缘起和动因进行了分析；第五章对中国如何应对美国施压进行了分析，事实上，中国应对美国汇率施压的过程就是人民币汇率制度改革的过程。中国汇率改革在考虑外部压力的同时也因国内的因素而调整不同的政策。第六章的结论总结了人民币汇率制度改革的近期、中期和远期的目标，人民币需要进一步完善外汇管理体制，扩大人民币结算范围，逐步推进人民币国际化进程，，这样才能更有利于人民币的发展。
[Abstract]:This paper closely combines the objective facts of the US dollar hegemony in the international monetary system and the dilemma of the Chinese RMB under the US dollar hegemony system, taking the development of the US dollar hegemony and the historical course of the Sino-US exchange rate game as the clue. This paper analyzes the exchange rate dispute between China and the United States in detail. The hegemonic position of the dollar did not change fundamentally even in the global financial crisis of 2008. In this environment, China's RMB exchange rate regime is facing mirror. As the United States continues to put pressure on the yuan, China is also actively responding. This paper analyzes the exchange rate game between China and America from the perspectives of the United States and China, and finally summarizes the countermeasures of China's RMB exchange rate regime. The paper is divided into three parts: introduction, text and conclusion, in which the structure of the text is divided into four chapters. The main contents of the first chapter are as follows: the main contents of the first chapter are the background, purpose and significance of the topic, the current research situation at home and abroad, the research methods and framework structure, new ideas and shortcomings. The second chapter analyzes the current international environment of the exchange rate dispute between China and the United States, that is, the international monetary system with the dollar hegemony as the core. From the establishment of the Bretton Woods system and the initial formation of the dollar hegemony system, the development and evolution of the dollar hegemony system and the maintenance of the dollar hegemony system after the financial crisis, this paper expounds the dollar hegemony in detail. The third chapter analyzes the dilemma of the current RMB exchange rate system under the hegemonic system of US dollar, such as the dilemma of high savings, the fear of RMB floating, and the dilemma of price stability and exchange rate stability under the flexible exchange rate system. The reason why the RMB exchange rate system is so difficult is the current international monetary system. The fourth and fifth chapters mainly discuss the exchange rate game between China and the United States. The fourth chapter analyzes the origin and motivation of American pressure on RMB, and the fifth chapter analyzes how China responds to American pressure. In fact, the process of China's pressure on American exchange rate is the process of RMB exchange rate system reform. China's exchange rate reform takes into account external pressure and adjusts different policies due to domestic factors. The conclusion of the sixth chapter summarizes the recent, medium-term and forward objectives of the reform of RMB exchange rate regime. The RMB needs to further improve the foreign exchange management system, expand the RMB settlement scope, and gradually promote the process of RMB internationalization. This is more conducive to the development of the renminbi.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6

【相似文献】