20世纪以来的金融危机成因比较和发展趋势
发布时间：2019-08-12 10:00
【摘要】：20世纪以来世界上共发生了八次全球性金融危机,纵观八次金融危机的直接诱因虽各自不同,但本质上却有一致的轨迹。预期对经济非理性扩张的矫正,以及由此引发的恐慌和羊群效应是金融危机爆发的总体性描述;真实经济周期的轮回,新兴市场国家不恰当的制度安排以及一系列的金融创新使得金融危机的爆发具有了必然性;借助国际货币体系的失衡和垄断的金融资本,发达国家可以轻松地把风险和危机转嫁给其他国家,这也使得危机本身具有了鲜明的政治经济学含义。20世纪80年代以来,金融危机的爆发呈现出许多新特点,其中两个方面尤其值得关注:其一,外部流动性的膨胀和收缩已成为危机爆发的基本机制;其二,新兴市场国家较其他国家更易受到金融危机的冲击。
[Abstract]:Since the 20th century, there have been eight global financial crises in the world. Although the direct causes of the eight financial crises are different, they have the same track in essence. The expected correction of irrational economic expansion, as well as the resulting panic and herding effect, are the overall description of the outbreak of the financial crisis, the reincarnation of the real economic cycle, the inappropriate institutional arrangements in emerging market countries and a series of financial innovations make the outbreak of the financial crisis inevitable. With the help of the imbalance of the international monetary system and the monopoly of financial capital, developed countries can easily pass on risks and crises to other countries, which also makes the crisis itself have a distinct political and economic meaning. Since the 1980s, the outbreak of the financial crisis has shown many new characteristics, two of which are particularly worthy of attention: first, the expansion and contraction of external liquidity has become the basic mechanism for the outbreak of the crisis; Second, emerging market countries are more vulnerable to financial crises than others.
【作者单位】： 暨南大学金融系;
【基金】：暨南大学创新团队项目(编号04SK2D03)
【分类号】：F831.59
[Abstract]:Since the 20th century, there have been eight global financial crises in the world. Although the direct causes of the eight financial crises are different, they have the same track in essence. The expected correction of irrational economic expansion, as well as the resulting panic and herding effect, are the overall description of the outbreak of the financial crisis, the reincarnation of the real economic cycle, the inappropriate institutional arrangements in emerging market countries and a series of financial innovations make the outbreak of the financial crisis inevitable. With the help of the imbalance of the international monetary system and the monopoly of financial capital, developed countries can easily pass on risks and crises to other countries, which also makes the crisis itself have a distinct political and economic meaning. Since the 1980s, the outbreak of the financial crisis has shown many new characteristics, two of which are particularly worthy of attention: first, the expansion and contraction of external liquidity has become the basic mechanism for the outbreak of the crisis; Second, emerging market countries are more vulnerable to financial crises than others.
【作者单位】： 暨南大学金融系;
【基金】：暨南大学创新团队项目(编号04SK2D03)
【分类号】：F831.59
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